Iryna Shymanovich vs En-Shuo Liang
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iryna Shymanovich
Iryna …: 55,0% En-Shuo …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Iryna Shymanovich?
UTR 11,51 vs 11,53 (+0,32) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iryna … En-Shuo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,62 2,16 61,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Iryna …: -7,5% En-Shuo …: +7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iryna Shymanovich
Ranking #154
UTR Rating 11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #257
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 2/7 = 28,6%
En-Shuo Liang
Ranking #359
UTR Rating 11,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #242
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 240,0000
rank_ratio 2,5484
log_rank_ratio 0,9355
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 311,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,4286
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,3893
surface_matches_ratio 3,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,8075
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,1229
first_serve_won_diff -0,8000
second_serve_won_diff 4,6000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff -11,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,5714
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -28,8810
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 60,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 35,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,2107
serve_consistency_p2 8,0552
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -20,0456
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4543
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2400
elite_surface_amplifier -21,4286
UTR
utr_diff 0,3200
utr_p1 0,4235
utr_p2 0,3859
utr_advantage 2,7972
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21368
API ID 15309849
Gamdom ID 569301
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21368,
    "api_id": 15309849,
    "gamdom_id": 569301,
    "player1": "Iryna Shymanovich",
    "player2": "En-Shuo Liang",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-03T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.16
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.63,
      "p2": 2.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 154,
      "utr_singles": 11.51,
      "utr_ranking": 257,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 359,
      "utr_singles": 11.53,
      "utr_ranking": 242,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.51,
      "ranking": 257,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.53,
      "ranking": 242,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4235294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.3858823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 2.5483870967741935,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 311,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -37.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.7972027972028,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9354606479818752,
    "rank_advantage": 240,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.42857142857143,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.1228571428571428,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5714285714285714,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.7999999999999972,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.21074320392685,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.05521885637924,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -20.045585313897327,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.80748663101605,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.600000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -28.881,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -21.42857142857143,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 35,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4542857142857143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.389304812834223,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}