Mai Hontama vs Manon Leonard
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 03:30
04 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Manon Leonard
Mai …: 43,6%
Manon …: 56,4%
¿Por qué Manon Leonard?
UTR 11,38 vs 11,48
(-0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mai … | Manon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,56 | 2,28 | 64,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,29 | 1,77 | 43,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mai …: -6,4%
Manon …: +6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mai Hontama
Ranking
#244
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#312
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Manon Leonard
Ranking
#203
UTR Rating
11,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#264
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8417 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1724 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -53,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 71,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,7500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,6250 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,2000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 34,7222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,0730 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,3400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,2800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,0400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8125 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -29,0640 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 39,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 23,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9470 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,6415 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,6464 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0245 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1380 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6095 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21369
API ID
15309844
Gamdom ID
569302
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21369,
"api_id": 15309844,
"gamdom_id": 569302,
"player1": "Mai Hontama",
"player2": "Manon Leonard",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-03T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.28
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4361,
"prob_p2": 0.5639,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5639,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 244,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 312,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 203,
"utr_singles": 11.48,
"utr_ranking": 264,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 312,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.48,
"ranking": 264,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40588235294117636,
"utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 0.8416666666666667,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -53,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.280000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -38.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.6094906399651745,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 71,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.17237122594078652,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.75,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.039999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.0730000000000004,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8125,
"combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.946997667105935,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.6415022279441103,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.6463920972779494,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.72222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.339999999999996,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.2,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -29.064000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.024499999999999966,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.138,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}