Mai Hontama vs Manon Leonard
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Manon Leonard
Mai …: 43,6% Manon …: 56,4%
¿Por qué Manon Leonard?
UTR 11,38 vs 11,48 (-0,07) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mai … Manon … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,56 2,28 64,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,29 1,77 43,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Mai …: -6,4% Manon …: +6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mai Hontama
Ranking #244
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #312
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Manon Leonard
Ranking #203
UTR Rating 11,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #264
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,8417
log_rank_ratio -0,1724
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -53,0000
best_rank_diff 71,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,7500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,6250
surface_matches_ratio 3,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,7500
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,7222
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,4500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,0730
first_serve_won_diff -0,1000
second_serve_won_diff 5,3400
bp_saved_diff 7,2800
bp_converted_diff 4,0400
aces_per_match_diff -1,8125
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -29,0640
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 39,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9470
serve_consistency_p2 2,6415
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,6464
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0245
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1380
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0700
utr_p1 0,4059
utr_p2 0,4141
utr_advantage -0,6095
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21369
API ID 15309844
Gamdom ID 569302
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21369,
    "api_id": 15309844,
    "gamdom_id": 569302,
    "player1": "Mai Hontama",
    "player2": "Manon Leonard",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-03T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.28
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.26
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4361,
    "prob_p2": 0.5639,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5639,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 244,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 312,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 203,
      "utr_singles": 11.48,
      "utr_ranking": 264,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 312,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.48,
      "ranking": 264,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40588235294117636,
    "utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8416666666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -53,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.280000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6094906399651745,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 71,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.17237122594078652,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.75,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.039999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.0730000000000004,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8125,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.946997667105935,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.6415022279441103,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.6463920972779494,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.72222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.339999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -29.064000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.024499999999999966,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.138,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.625,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}