Nuria Parrizas Diaz vs Elvina Kalieva
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 09:25
04 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elvina Kalieva
Nuria …: 42,9%
Elvina …: 57,1%
¿Por qué Elvina Kalieva?
UTR 11,38 vs 11,52
(+0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nuria … | Elvina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,97 | 1,75 | 50,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,33 | 1,75 | 42,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nuria …: -3,5%
Elvina …: +3,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuria Parrizas Diaz
Ranking
#261
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#314
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
7/17 = 41,2%
Elvina Kalieva
Ranking
#207
UTR Rating
11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#259
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9491 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0523 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -16,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 123,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,8235 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,2963 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,3492 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1765 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,7282 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,3941 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,7706 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -15,8118 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12,0588 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,8700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 132,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 29,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5926 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,3794 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,6310 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,9839 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0772 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0890 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4165 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,6957 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21371
API ID
15309845
Gamdom ID
569290
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21371,
"api_id": 15309845,
"gamdom_id": 569290,
"player1": "Nuria Parrizas Diaz",
"player2": "Elvina Kalieva",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T05:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.97,
"p2": 1.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.03,
"p2": 1.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4286,
"prob_p2": 0.5714,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5714,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 261,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 314,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 207,
"utr_singles": 11.52,
"utr_ranking": 259,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 314,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.52,
"ranking": 259,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_diff": 0.0799999999999983,
"rank_ratio": 0.9490740740740741,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -16,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -15.811764705882347,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.17647058823529,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.6956521739130287,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 123,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.05226842854575683,
"rank_advantage": -11,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.82352941176471,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.058823529411768,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.728235294117646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5925925925925926,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.4,
"combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.39411764705882,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.17647058823529413,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.379416225405278,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.630975648954836,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.9838763020377758,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.34920634920635,
"second_serve_won_diff": -10.77058823529412,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.870000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 132,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 29,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07723529411764707,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08899999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.296296296296298,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}