Polina Iatcenko vs Sijia Wei
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Iatcenko
Polina …: 74,1% Sijia …: 25,9%
¿Por qué Polina Iatcenko?
UTR 11,97 vs 11,44 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Polina … Sijia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,72 2,00 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,86 74,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Polina …: +15,2% Sijia …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Iatcenko
Ranking #159
UTR Rating 11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Hard 8/10 = 80,0%
Sijia Wei
Ranking #289
UTR Rating 11,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #287
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 11/19 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 64,0000
rank_ratio 1,3787
log_rank_ratio 0,3211
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 115,0000
best_rank_diff -50,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 22,1053
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,9503
surface_matches_ratio 0,5263
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 80,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,8947
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,5217
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,5333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -48,7474
first_serve_won_diff -62,2000
second_serve_won_diff -49,0000
bp_saved_diff -51,6000
bp_converted_diff -50,7000
aces_per_match_diff -1,4737
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 44,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 33,1460
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 64,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6552
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,0944
serve_consistency_p2 6,8758
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,0989
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1429
elite_surface_amplifier 22,1053
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,4576
utr_p2 0,4035
utr_advantage 3,9451
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21372
API ID 15309840
Gamdom ID 569300
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21372,
    "api_id": 15309840,
    "gamdom_id": 569300,
    "player1": "Polina Iatcenko",
    "player2": "Sijia Wei",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T05:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.75,
      "p2": 2.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7411,
    "prob_p2": 0.2589,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7411,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 159,
      "utr_singles": 11.97,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 80.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 289,
      "utr_singles": 11.44,
      "utr_ranking": 287,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.97,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.44,
      "ranking": 287,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45764705882352946,
    "utr_p2": 0.40352941176470586,
    "utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 1.378698224852071,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 115,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -51.6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 44.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 80.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.89473684210527,
    "utr_advantage": 3.9451114922813106,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -50,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.32113973864262707,
    "rank_advantage": 64,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 22.105263157894733,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": -48.74736842105263,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6551724137931034,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4736842105263157,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -62.199999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.6,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.094376461397541,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.875753954190285,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.098878433152808,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.52173913043478,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -49.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5263157894736842,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 33.14600000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 22.105263157894733,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.236,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1429473684210527,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.950310559006213,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}