Sarah Rokusek vs Anouk Koevermans
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 14:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anouk Koevermans
Sarah …: 32,3% Anouk …: 67,7%
¿Por qué Anouk Koevermans?
UTR 10,15 vs 11,56 — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sarah … Anouk … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 7,00 1,10 14,3%
Gamdom 5,80 1,10 17,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,10 1,48 32,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Sarah …: +18,7% Anouk …: -18,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sarah Rokusek
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #978
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Anouk Koevermans
Ranking #194
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #232
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -306,0000
rank_ratio 0,3880
log_rank_ratio -0,9467
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -368,0000
best_rank_diff -333,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -40,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,1311
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,6068
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -60,0400
first_serve_won_diff -67,6000
second_serve_won_diff -48,8000
bp_saved_diff -70,0000
bp_converted_diff -50,0000
aces_per_match_diff -5,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,0200
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 59,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 4,4649
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 37,8700
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1940
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4060
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4165
utr_p2 0,4165
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21374
API ID 15309847
Gamdom ID 569291
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21374,
    "api_id": 15309847,
    "gamdom_id": 569291,
    "player1": "Sarah Rokusek",
    "player2": "Anouk Koevermans",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T10:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.8,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.18,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3231,
    "prob_p2": 0.6769,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6769,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.15,
      "utr_ranking": 978,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 194,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 232,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.15,
      "ranking": 978,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.56,
      "ranking": 232,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.41647058823529404,
    "utr_p2": 0.41647058823529404,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.388,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -368,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -70.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -333,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9467499393588635,
    "rank_advantage": -306,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -60.04,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.8,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -67.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.464943113772538,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 37.86999757435454,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.60683760683761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -48.8,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.0200000000000031,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19399999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.406,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.13105413105413,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}