Tamara Zidansek vs Sada Nahimana
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Tamara …: 92,0% Sada …: 8,0%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,85 vs 11,30 (+0,61) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tamara … Sada … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
Gamdom 1,22 3,85 82,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,09 12,50 92,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tamara …: +18,9% Sada …: -18,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #140
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/8 = 62,5%
Sada Nahimana
Ranking #219
UTR Rating 11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #343
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 62,0000
rank_ratio 1,3851
log_rank_ratio 0,3258
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 116,0000
best_rank_diff 198,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 62,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,5450
surface_matches_ratio 8,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3750
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,3925
first_serve_won_diff 14,9000
second_serve_won_diff -23,5250
bp_saved_diff 42,4750
bp_converted_diff 16,1000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,9360
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 89,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 31,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6071
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,1466
serve_consistency_p2 14,8095
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20,3605
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0630
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4380
elite_surface_amplifier 62,5000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6100
utr_p1 0,4565
utr_p2 0,3847
utr_advantage 5,2700
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21376
API ID 15309841
Gamdom ID 569299
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21376,
    "api_id": 15309841,
    "gamdom_id": 569299,
    "player1": "Tamara Zidansek",
    "player2": "Sada Nahimana",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T03:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 3.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 3.91
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.92,
    "prob_p2": 0.08,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.92,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 11.85,
      "utr_ranking": 140,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 219,
      "utr_singles": 11.3,
      "utr_ranking": 343,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.85,
      "ranking": 140,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.3,
      "ranking": 343,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4564705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.3847058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.6100000000000012,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3850931677018634,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 116,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 42.475,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -1.9999999999999964,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.269978401727872,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 198,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.32576740647565583,
    "rank_advantage": 62,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 62.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": 16.099999999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.3925000000000054,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 14.900000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.146632466234689,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.809481893984476,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.36046290472849,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.375,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -23.525,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.9359999999999928,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 62.5,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 89,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 31,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06299999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43799999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.545,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}