Tamara Zidansek vs Sada Nahimana
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 07:45
04 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Tamara …: 92,0%
Sada …: 8,0%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,85 vs 11,30
(+0,61)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tamara … | Sada … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,29 | 3,50 | 77,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,22 | 3,85 | 82,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,09 | 12,50 | 92,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tamara …: +18,9%
Sada …: -18,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/8 = 62,5%
Sada Nahimana
Ranking
#219
UTR Rating
11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#343
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 62,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3851 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3258 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 116,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 198,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,5450 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,3925 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 14,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -23,5250 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 42,4750 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 16,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,9360 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 89,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 31,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,1466 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,8095 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,3605 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0630 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4380 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 62,5000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3847 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,2700 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21376
API ID
15309841
Gamdom ID
569299
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21376,
"api_id": 15309841,
"gamdom_id": 569299,
"player1": "Tamara Zidansek",
"player2": "Sada Nahimana",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T03:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2857142857142856,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 3.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 3.91
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.92,
"prob_p2": 0.08,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.92,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 219,
"utr_singles": 11.3,
"utr_ranking": 343,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.3,
"ranking": 343,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4564705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.3847058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.6100000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 1.3850931677018634,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 116,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 42.475,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -1.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.269978401727872,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 198,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.32576740647565583,
"rank_advantage": 62,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 62.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 16.099999999999994,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.3925000000000054,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 14.900000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.146632466234689,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.809481893984476,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.36046290472849,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.375,
"second_serve_won_diff": -23.525,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.9359999999999928,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 62.5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 89,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 31,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06299999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43799999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.545,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}