Teodora Kostovic vs Camilla Rosatello
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 12:05
04 Ene 2026, 12:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Teodora Kostovic
Teodora …: 77,1%
Camilla …: 22,9%
¿Por qué Teodora Kostovic?
UTR 11,74 vs 11,08
(+0,60)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Teodora … | Camilla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,31 | 3,20 | 76,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,30 | 4,37 | 77,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Teodora …: +6,2%
Camilla …: -6,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking
#177
UTR Rating
11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#172
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/6 = 33,3%
Camilla Rosatello
Ranking
#226
UTR Rating
11,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#453
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2316 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2083 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 58,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,5479 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9524 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,2500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 11,3333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,9500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 30,7333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,4540 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 26,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 33,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,4421 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7727 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,9448 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2077 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4590 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 33,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3682 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,2493 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21377
API ID
15309842
Gamdom ID
569294
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21377,
"api_id": 15309842,
"gamdom_id": 569294,
"player1": "Teodora Kostovic",
"player2": "Camilla Rosatello",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T08:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.771,
"prob_p2": 0.229,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.771,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 177,
"utr_singles": 11.74,
"utr_ranking": 172,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 226,
"utr_singles": 11.08,
"utr_ranking": 453,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 172,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.08,
"ranking": 453,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.36823529411764716,
"utr_diff": 0.5999999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.231638418079096,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 58,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.950000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -18.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.249343832020995,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.20834533021525986,
"rank_advantage": 41,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 30.73333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.25,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6333333333333258,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.442094121905646,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.772664246043101,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.944844340508661,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.95238095238095,
"second_serve_won_diff": 11.333333333333329,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.453999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 33.33333333333333,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 33,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20766666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4590000000000001,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.54793650793651,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}