Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Saville
Merida | Hard | Round of 32
25 Feb 2025, 20:00
25 Feb 2025, 20:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marta … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#19
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
45/69 = 65.2%
Daria Saville
Ranking
#200
UTR Rating
11.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#232
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 174.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7.6923 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.0402 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1292.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16.2941 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14.3836 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.2941 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64.3836 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.8906 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5.8540 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.8885 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10.2865 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.3370 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.3985 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11.8960 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8282 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6308 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.5055 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.9410 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 33.2436 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0311 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1540 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 32.5882 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4153 | |
| utr_advantage | 8.3126 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2138
API ID
13524807
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Merida
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 2138,
"api_id": 13524807,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marta Kostyuk",
"player2": "Daria Saville",
"tournament": "Merida",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-02-25T20:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.53,
"utr_ranking": 19,
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"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 45,
"wr_surface_total": 69,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.53,
"utr_ranking": 232,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 19,
"division": "Pro",
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"p2": {
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"best_rank_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.294117647058812,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.38356164383562,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.725,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.38356164383562,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 69,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.890608823529419,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.853999999999992,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.8885000000000076,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.286500000000004,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.3369999999999962,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3985294117647058,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.896000000000015,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8281853281853282,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6307692307692307,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.50551750626136,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.941017919253381,
"surface_rank_synergy": 33.24359820599148,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.031058823529411805,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15399999999999991,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 32.588235294117624,
"utr_diff": 1.0,
"utr_p1": 0.5329411764705881,
"utr_p2": 0.41529411764705876,
"utr_advantage": 8.31255195344971,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}