Alina Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:50
06 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Alina …: 46,2%
Polina …: 53,8%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,95 vs 11,71
(+0,39)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alina … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,49 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,16 | 1,86 | 46,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alina …: -19,4%
Polina …: +19,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alina Korneeva
Ranking
#212
UTR Rating
11,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#118
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -107,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4929 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7075 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -415,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -74,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,2002 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,7179 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,2106 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1943 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2886 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,1571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,4386 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,1300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 34,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7468 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9702 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6609 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,0640 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0070 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1213 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3121 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21381
API ID
15309816
Gamdom ID
569266
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21381,
"api_id": 15309816,
"gamdom_id": 569266,
"player1": "Alina Korneeva",
"player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T01:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.49
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4619,
"prob_p2": 0.5381,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5381,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 212,
"utr_singles": 11.95,
"utr_ranking": 118,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 118,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 0.4928909952606635,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": -415,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.157142857142851,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": 3.31210191082803,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -74,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7074672343346938,
"rank_advantage": -107,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.438571428571429,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.210571428571427,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8000000000000003,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1942857142857264,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.970218907611544,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.660924603948052,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.064004865725946,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.28857142857143,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.129999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 32,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007000000000000006,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12128571428571427,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.2002442002442,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}