Alina Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Alina …: 46,2% Polina …: 53,8%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,95 vs 11,71 (+0,39) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alina … Polina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,57 2,49 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,16 1,86 46,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Alina …: -19,4% Polina …: +19,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alina Korneeva
Ranking #212
UTR Rating 11,95 Pro
UTR Ranking #118
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -107,0000
rank_ratio 0,4929
log_rank_ratio -0,7075
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -415,0000
best_rank_diff -74,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,2002
surface_matches_ratio 0,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,7179
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,2106
first_serve_won_diff 1,1943
second_serve_won_diff -3,2886
bp_saved_diff -7,1571
bp_converted_diff -11,4386
aces_per_match_diff 0,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,1300
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 34,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 32,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7468
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 9,9702
serve_consistency_p2 8,6609
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,0640
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0070
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1213
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3900
utr_p1 0,4671
utr_p2 0,4212
utr_advantage 3,3121
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21381
API ID 15309816
Gamdom ID 569266
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21381,
    "api_id": 15309816,
    "gamdom_id": 569266,
    "player1": "Alina Korneeva",
    "player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T01:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4619,
    "prob_p2": 0.5381,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5381,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 212,
      "utr_singles": 11.95,
      "utr_ranking": 118,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.95,
      "ranking": 118,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.71,
      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46705882352941186,
    "utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4928909952606635,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": -415,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.157142857142851,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": 3.31210191082803,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -74,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7074672343346938,
    "rank_advantage": -107,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.438571428571429,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.210571428571427,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8000000000000003,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1942857142857264,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.970218907611544,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.660924603948052,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.064004865725946,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.28857142857143,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.129999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 32,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007000000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12128571428571427,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.2002442002442,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}