Daria Snigur vs Tamara Korpatsch
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Snigur
Daria …: 53,7%
Tamara …: 46,3%
¿Por qué Daria Snigur?
UTR 11,96 vs 11,80
(+0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Tamara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 3,00 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,64 | 2,32 | 61,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,86 | 2,16 | 53,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daria …: -14,5%
Tamara …: +14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Snigur
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/13 = 53,8%
Tamara Korpatsch
Ranking
#124
UTR Rating
11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#155
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -28,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8170 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2021 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -111,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,8462 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,6765 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,3422 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,4573 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4819 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,0935 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2688 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2577 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,7360 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,5844 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,8900 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7774 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0665 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0280 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4494 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7585 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21382
API ID
15309820
Gamdom ID
569265
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21382,
"api_id": 15309820,
"gamdom_id": 569265,
"player1": "Daria Snigur",
"player2": "Tamara Korpatsch",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.32
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.66,
"p2": 2.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5371,
"prob_p2": 0.4629,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5371,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 11.96,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 124,
"utr_singles": 11.8,
"utr_ranking": 155,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.96,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.8,
"ranking": 155,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46,
"utr_p2": 0.4494117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.8169934640522876,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -111,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.09346153846154,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.7585335018963325,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.20212418409013436,
"rank_advantage": -28,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.8461538461538467,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.2688461538461482,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.3421538461538418,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2576923076923077,
"combined_confidence": 0.57,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.457307692307694,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.584377970105506,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.890045056605366,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7774007080389784,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4819230769230742,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.65,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.736000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 75,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06646153846153846,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.028000000000000025,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6764705882352962,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}