Daria Snigur vs Tamara Korpatsch
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Snigur
Daria …: 53,7% Tamara …: 46,3%
¿Por qué Daria Snigur?
UTR 11,96 vs 11,80 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Tamara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,64 2,32 61,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,86 2,16 53,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Daria …: -14,5% Tamara …: +14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Snigur
Ranking #136
UTR Rating 11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/13 = 53,8%
Tamara Korpatsch
Ranking #124
UTR Rating 11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -28,0000
rank_ratio 0,8170
log_rank_ratio -0,2021
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -111,0000
best_rank_diff -34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,8462
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,6765
surface_matches_ratio 0,6500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,9412
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,5700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,3422
first_serve_won_diff 1,4573
second_serve_won_diff 1,4819
bp_saved_diff 10,0935
bp_converted_diff 0,2688
aces_per_match_diff -1,2577
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,7360
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 75,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 25,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,5844
serve_consistency_p2 11,8900
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7774
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0665
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0280
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,4600
utr_p2 0,4494
utr_advantage 0,7585
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21382
API ID 15309820
Gamdom ID 569265
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21382,
    "api_id": 15309820,
    "gamdom_id": 569265,
    "player1": "Daria Snigur",
    "player2": "Tamara Korpatsch",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.32
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.66,
      "p2": 2.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5371,
    "prob_p2": 0.4629,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5371,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 136,
      "utr_singles": 11.96,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 124,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.96,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46,
    "utr_p2": 0.4494117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8169934640522876,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -111,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.09346153846154,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.7585335018963325,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -34,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.20212418409013436,
    "rank_advantage": -28,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.8461538461538467,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.2688461538461482,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.3421538461538418,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.2576923076923077,
    "combined_confidence": 0.57,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.457307692307694,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.584377970105506,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.890045056605366,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7774007080389784,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4819230769230742,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.65,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.736000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 75,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06646153846153846,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.028000000000000025,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6764705882352962,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}