Hanne Vandewinkel vs Yue Yuan
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hanne Vandewinkel
Hanne …: 76,8% Yue …: 23,2%
¿Por qué Hanne Vandewinkel?
UTR 11,77 vs 12,04 (-0,25) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hanne … Yue … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,53 40,0%
Gamdom 2,42 1,59 41,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,30 4,31 76,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Hanne …: +38,8% Yue …: -38,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanne Vandewinkel
Ranking #125
UTR Rating 11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #168
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 9/12 = 75,0%
Yue Yuan
Ranking #130
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #95
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 8/25 = 32,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 2,0000
rank_ratio 1,0159
log_rank_ratio 0,0157
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 4,0000
best_rank_diff -86,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 43,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 22,1595
surface_matches_ratio 0,4800
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 32,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,4828
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,6467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,6015
first_serve_won_diff 5,5833
second_serve_won_diff 10,7440
bp_saved_diff 6,8073
bp_converted_diff 6,2667
aces_per_match_diff 1,2933
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,9000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 70,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7872
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 8,9667
serve_consistency_p2 5,4921
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6772
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2480
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1780
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2500
utr_p1 0,4459
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage -2,0982
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21383
API ID 15309811
Gamdom ID 569273
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21383,
    "api_id": 15309811,
    "gamdom_id": 569273,
    "player1": "Hanne Vandewinkel",
    "player2": "Yue Yuan",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-04T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.42,
      "p2": 1.59
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.56
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7679,
    "prob_p2": 0.2321,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7679,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 125,
      "utr_singles": 11.77,
      "utr_ranking": 168,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 130,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 95,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 32.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.77,
      "ranking": 168,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 95,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_diff": -0.25,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0158730158730158,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 4,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.807333333333325,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 32.0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.0981955518254303,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -86,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.015748356968139112,
    "rank_advantage": 2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 43.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.266666666666673,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.601533333333329,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7872340425531915,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2933333333333334,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6466666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.583333333333329,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.966691110112771,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.49209566823515,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6771793496299818,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.48275862068966,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 10.744,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.48,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.900000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 70,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.248,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.178,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.159482758620687,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}