Joanna Garland vs Diane Parry
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diane Parry
Joanna …: 38,1%
Diane …: 61,9%
¿Por qué Diane Parry?
UTR 11,86 vs 11,77
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joanna … | Diane … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,13 | 1,75 | 46,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,63 | 1,62 | 38,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Joanna …: -3,2%
Diane …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joanna Garland
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#143
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Diane Parry
Ranking
#122
UTR Rating
11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#163
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9323 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0701 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -60,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -72,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,1905 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7313 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,1515 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,4633 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -21,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,5250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 64,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 66,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9239 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,9626 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,2116 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0834 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0624 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0923 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4506 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3617 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21384
API ID
15309817
Gamdom ID
569272
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21384,
"api_id": 15309817,
"gamdom_id": 569272,
"player1": "Joanna Garland",
"player2": "Diane Parry",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.13,
"p2": 1.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.71
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3809,
"prob_p2": 0.6191,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6191,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 11.86,
"utr_ranking": 143,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 122,
"utr_singles": 11.77,
"utr_ranking": 163,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.86,
"ranking": 143,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.77,
"ranking": 163,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.43176470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.4505882352941177,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.9323308270676691,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": -60,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -21.20000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": -1.3617021276595758,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -72,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.07006756261671696,
"rank_advantage": -9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.1904761904761827,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.1000000000000014,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.46333333333333826,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9239130434782609,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.16666666666666652,
"combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.9626448616999355,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.21162069418181,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.0834137650199006,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.151515151515156,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.100000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5833333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.525000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.062428571428571444,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09233333333333327,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.731313131313133,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}