Joanna Garland vs Diane Parry
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diane Parry
Joanna …: 38,1% Diane …: 61,9%
¿Por qué Diane Parry?
UTR 11,86 vs 11,77 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joanna … Diane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,13 1,75 46,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,63 1,62 38,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Joanna …: -3,2% Diane …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joanna Garland
Ranking #117
UTR Rating 11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #143
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Diane Parry
Ranking #122
UTR Rating 11,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #163
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -9,0000
rank_ratio 0,9323
log_rank_ratio -0,0701
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -60,0000
best_rank_diff -72,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,1905
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7313
surface_matches_ratio 0,5833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,1515
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,4633
first_serve_won_diff -2,2000
second_serve_won_diff 4,1000
bp_saved_diff -21,2000
bp_converted_diff 3,1000
aces_per_match_diff 0,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,5250
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 64,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 66,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9239
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 3,9626
serve_consistency_p2 11,2116
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0834
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0624
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0923
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,4318
utr_p2 0,4506
utr_advantage -1,3617
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21384
API ID 15309817
Gamdom ID 569272
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21384,
    "api_id": 15309817,
    "gamdom_id": 569272,
    "player1": "Joanna Garland",
    "player2": "Diane Parry",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.13,
      "p2": 1.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3809,
    "prob_p2": 0.6191,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6191,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 117,
      "utr_singles": 11.86,
      "utr_ranking": 143,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 122,
      "utr_singles": 11.77,
      "utr_ranking": 163,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.86,
      "ranking": 143,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.77,
      "ranking": 163,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.43176470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.4505882352941177,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9323308270676691,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": -60,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -21.20000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3617021276595758,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -72,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.07006756261671696,
    "rank_advantage": -9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.1904761904761827,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.1000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.46333333333333826,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9239130434782609,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.16666666666666652,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.9626448616999355,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.21162069418181,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.0834137650199006,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.151515151515156,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.100000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5833333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.525000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 64,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.062428571428571444,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09233333333333327,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.731313131313133,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}