Lanlana Tararudee vs Tina Nadine Smith
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 12:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lanlana Tararudee
Lanlana …: 53,2% Tina …: 46,8%
¿Por qué Lanlana Tararudee?
UTR 11,89 vs 11,31 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lanlana … Tina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,50 83,3%
Gamdom 1,26 4,10 79,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,88 2,14 53,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Lanlana …: -25,7% Tina …: +25,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking #131
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Tina Nadine Smith
Ranking #334
UTR Rating 11,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #338
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 193,0000
rank_ratio 2,4296
log_rank_ratio 0,8877
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 360,0000
best_rank_diff 132,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,4294
surface_matches_ratio 1,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 41,8182
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,0014
first_serve_won_diff 10,5286
second_serve_won_diff -1,8286
bp_saved_diff -9,7143
bp_converted_diff -4,8429
aces_per_match_diff 2,6429
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,6660
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 37,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 33,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,8596
serve_consistency_p2 13,4789
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,5364
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2930
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1216
elite_surface_amplifier -2,8571
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,4447
utr_p2 0,3906
utr_advantage 3,9827
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21385
API ID 15309819
Gamdom ID 569269
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21385,
    "api_id": 15309819,
    "gamdom_id": 569269,
    "player1": "Lanlana Tararudee",
    "player2": "Tina Nadine Smith",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T08:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 4.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 3.98
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5322,
    "prob_p2": 0.4678,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5322,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 131,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 334,
      "utr_singles": 11.31,
      "utr_ranking": 338,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.31,
      "ranking": 338,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4447058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.3905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.4599999999999991,
    "rank_ratio": 2.4296296296296296,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 360,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.714285714285708,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 14.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 3.9826839826839744,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 132,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8877388299457143,
    "rank_advantage": 193,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.857142857142854,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.842857142857149,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.001428571428576,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.642857142857143,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.528571428571432,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.859606298229052,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.478944863774915,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.5363966569877525,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.81818181818181,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.8285714285714292,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.666000000000011,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -2.857142857142854,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 37,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 33,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29300000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12157142857142861,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.42943722943723034,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}