Madison Brengle vs Moyuka Uchijima
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 10:20
05 Ene 2026, 10:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moyuka Uchijima
Madison …: 15,0%
Moyuka …: 85,0%
¿Por qué Moyuka Uchijima?
UTR 11,61 vs 11,46
(+0,03)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Madison … | Moyuka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,70 | 1,49 | 37,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,67 | 1,18 | 15,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Madison …: -26,3%
Moyuka …: +26,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Brengle
Ranking
#455
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#215
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking
#88
UTR Rating
11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#280
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
14/34 = 41,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -360,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2070 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,5748 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -688,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -23,5076 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0588 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 6,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,1053 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16,3847 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,6176 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -15,8412 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -20,5588 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,8824 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9118 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,3086 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 139,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7984 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1389 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4490 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 64,8448 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1400 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4482 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,2601 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21386
API ID
15309815
Gamdom ID
569268
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21386,
"api_id": 15309815,
"gamdom_id": 569268,
"player1": "Madison Brengle",
"player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T06:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.49
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.54,
"p2": 1.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1499,
"prob_p2": 0.8501,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8501,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 455,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 215,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 88,
"utr_singles": 11.46,
"utr_ranking": 280,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 215,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 280,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.030000000000001137,
"rank_ratio": 0.20704845814977973,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -688,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -20.558823529411768,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.17647058823529,
"utr_advantage": 0.26007802340703196,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 12,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.574802415771344,
"rank_advantage": -360,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -41.17647058823529,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.8823529411764675,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": -16.384705882352947,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7984496124031008,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.911764705882353,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.617647058823543,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.138888888888889,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.44904540078316,
"surface_rank_synergy": 64.84480535529063,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
"second_serve_won_diff": -15.84117647058823,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.058823529411764705,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.308571428571433,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 139,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.44823529411764707,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -23.507602339181286,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}