Madison Brengle vs Moyuka Uchijima
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 10:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moyuka Uchijima
Madison …: 15,0% Moyuka …: 85,0%
¿Por qué Moyuka Uchijima?
UTR 11,61 vs 11,46 (+0,03) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Madison … Moyuka … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,70 1,49 37,0%
IA Fair Odds 6,67 1,18 15,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Madison …: -26,3% Moyuka …: +26,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Brengle
Ranking #455
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #215
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking #88
UTR Rating 11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #280
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 14/34 = 41,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -360,0000
rank_ratio 0,2070
log_rank_ratio -1,5748
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -688,0000
best_rank_diff 12,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -41,1765
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -23,5076
surface_matches_ratio 0,0588
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 41,1765
surface_wr_p1_stable 6,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,1053
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 34,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -16,3847
first_serve_won_diff -11,6176
second_serve_won_diff -15,8412
bp_saved_diff -20,5588
bp_converted_diff -7,8824
aces_per_match_diff -2,9118
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,3086
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 139,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7984
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5833
serve_consistency_p1 5,1389
serve_consistency_p2 8,4490
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 64,8448
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1400
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4482
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0300
utr_p1 0,4176
utr_p2 0,4141
utr_advantage 0,2601
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21386
API ID 15309815
Gamdom ID 569268
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21386,
    "api_id": 15309815,
    "gamdom_id": 569268,
    "player1": "Madison Brengle",
    "player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T06:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.7,
      "p2": 1.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.54,
      "p2": 1.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1499,
    "prob_p2": 0.8501,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8501,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 455,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 215,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 88,
      "utr_singles": 11.46,
      "utr_ranking": 280,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 215,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.46,
      "ranking": 280,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.030000000000001137,
    "rank_ratio": 0.20704845814977973,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -688,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -20.558823529411768,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.17647058823529,
    "utr_advantage": 0.26007802340703196,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 12,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.574802415771344,
    "rank_advantage": -360,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -41.17647058823529,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.8823529411764675,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 34,
    "serve_quality_diff": -16.384705882352947,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7984496124031008,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.911764705882353,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -11.617647058823543,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.138888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.44904540078316,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 64.84480535529063,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -15.84117647058823,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.058823529411764705,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.308571428571433,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 139,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.44823529411764707,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -23.507602339181286,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}