Mayar Sherif vs Elena Micic
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 08:05
06 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mayar Sherif
Mayar …: 55,0%
Elena …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Mayar Sherif?
UTR 11,81 vs 10,82
(+1,09)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mayar … | Elena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 6,00 | 88,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mayar …: -29,2%
Elena …: +29,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mayar Sherif
Ranking
#109
UTR Rating
11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/9 = 11,1%
Elena Micic
Ranking
#352
UTR Rating
10,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#600
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
2/4 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 239,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,1927 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1609 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 538,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 317,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -38,8889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,5840 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 11,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25,2137 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,7778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,7444 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,7889 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -11,9444 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,7667 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0278 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 51,0204 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,9796 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,1320 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 36,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 360,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3939 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0071 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,7678 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -45,1443 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,6279 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2390 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -38,8889 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3306 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,5993 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21388
API ID
15309812
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21388,
"api_id": 15309812,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mayar Sherif",
"player2": "Elena Micic",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T04:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.81
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.55,
"prob_p2": 0.45,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.55,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 109,
"utr_singles": 11.81,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 11.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 352,
"utr_singles": 10.82,
"utr_ranking": 600,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.81,
"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.82,
"ranking": 600,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
"utr_diff": 1.0899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 3.1926605504587156,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 51.02040816326531,
"points_diff": 538,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.766666666666673,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 6.979591836734684,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 11.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 9.599295464553059,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 317,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1608545975453306,
"rank_advantage": 239,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -38.888888888888886,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.744444444444454,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3939393939393939,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0277777777777777,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.7888888888888914,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.7777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.007071428696921,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.767824361748083,
"surface_rank_synergy": -45.14434546009618,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.213675213675213,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -11.94444444444445,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.132040816326523,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -38.888888888888886,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 360,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.6278888888888889,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.239,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.584045584045585,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}