Mayar Sherif vs Elena Micic
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mayar Sherif
Mayar …: 55,0% Elena …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Mayar Sherif?
UTR 11,81 vs 10,82 (+1,09) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mayar … Elena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 6,00 88,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Mayar …: -29,2% Elena …: +29,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mayar Sherif
Ranking #109
UTR Rating 11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #153
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/9 = 11,1%
Elena Micic
Ranking #352
UTR Rating 10,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #600
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 2/4 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 239,0000
rank_ratio 3,1927
log_rank_ratio 1,1609
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 538,0000
best_rank_diff 317,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -38,8889
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,5840
surface_matches_ratio 2,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 11,1111
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 25,2137
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,7778
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,3867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,7444
first_serve_won_diff 1,7889
second_serve_won_diff -11,9444
bp_saved_diff -6,7667
bp_converted_diff -7,6000
aces_per_match_diff -1,0278
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 51,0204
momentum_diff 6,9796
weighted_momentum_diff 6,1320
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 36,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 360,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3939
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0071
serve_consistency_p2 10,7678
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -45,1443
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,6279
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2390
elite_surface_amplifier -38,8889
UTR
utr_diff 1,0900
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,3306
utr_advantage 9,5993
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21388
API ID 15309812
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21388,
    "api_id": 15309812,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Mayar Sherif",
    "player2": "Elena Micic",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T04:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.81
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 109,
      "utr_singles": 11.81,
      "utr_ranking": 153,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 11.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 352,
      "utr_singles": 10.82,
      "utr_ranking": 600,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 153,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 600,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 1.0899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 3.1926605504587156,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 51.02040816326531,
    "points_diff": 538,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.766666666666673,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 6.979591836734684,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 11.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 9.599295464553059,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 317,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1608545975453306,
    "rank_advantage": 239,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -38.888888888888886,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.744444444444454,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3939393939393939,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0277777777777777,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.7888888888888914,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.7777777777777778,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.007071428696921,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.767824361748083,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -45.14434546009618,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.213675213675213,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -11.94444444444445,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.132040816326523,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -38.888888888888886,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 360,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.6278888888888889,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.239,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.584045584045585,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}