Simona Waltert vs Dominika Salkova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 05:10
05 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Simona …: 74,2%
Dominika …: 25,8%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,80
(+0,42)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Simona … | Dominika … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,69 | 2,23 | 59,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,88 | 74,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Simona …: +8,6%
Dominika …: -8,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Dominika Salkova
Ranking
#144
UTR Rating
11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 59,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6782 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5177 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 326,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 43,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,6944 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,1667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,9268 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,1867 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,2217 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,7867 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,7450 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,3230 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 57,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9537 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5482 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,0398 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1077 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 11,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4471 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,4971 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21389
API ID
15309818
Gamdom ID
569270
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21389,
"api_id": 15309818,
"gamdom_id": 569270,
"player1": "Simona Waltert",
"player2": "Dominika Salkova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.23
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.742,
"prob_p2": 0.258,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.742,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 144,
"utr_singles": 11.8,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.44705882352941184,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.6781609195402298,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 326,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.786666666666676,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 3.497085761865111,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 43,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5176985030537526,
"rank_advantage": 59,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.66666666666665,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.7449999999999974,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.9268333333333345,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.3,
"combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.18666666666666,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.953727875693914,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.548169642766316,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.039815868960439,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.221666666666664,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.3230000000000075,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 11.66666666666665,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10766666666666658,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10899999999999999,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.6944444444444455,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}