Simona Waltert vs Dominika Salkova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Simona …: 74,2% Dominika …: 25,8%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,80 (+0,42) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Simona … Dominika … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,69 2,23 59,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,88 74,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Simona …: +8,6% Dominika …: -8,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 8/12 = 66,7%
Dominika Salkova
Ranking #144
UTR Rating 11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 59,0000
rank_ratio 1,6782
log_rank_ratio 0,5177
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 326,0000
best_rank_diff 43,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,6944
surface_matches_ratio 0,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 55,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,1667
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,5633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,9268
first_serve_won_diff 9,1867
second_serve_won_diff -4,2217
bp_saved_diff 6,7867
bp_converted_diff 0,7450
aces_per_match_diff 2,3000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,3230
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 57,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 7,9537
serve_consistency_p2 6,5482
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,0398
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1077
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1090
elite_surface_amplifier 11,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,4200
utr_p1 0,4965
utr_p2 0,4471
utr_advantage 3,4971
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21389
API ID 15309818
Gamdom ID 569270
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21389,
    "api_id": 15309818,
    "gamdom_id": 569270,
    "player1": "Simona Waltert",
    "player2": "Dominika Salkova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.742,
    "prob_p2": 0.258,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.742,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 66,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 144,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 66,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4964705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.44705882352941184,
    "utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6781609195402298,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 326,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.786666666666676,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
    "utr_advantage": 3.497085761865111,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 43,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5176985030537526,
    "rank_advantage": 59,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.66666666666665,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.7449999999999974,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.9268333333333345,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.18666666666666,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.953727875693914,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.548169642766316,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.039815868960439,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.221666666666664,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.3230000000000075,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 11.66666666666665,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10766666666666658,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10899999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.6944444444444455,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}