Kamil Majchrzak vs Quentin Halys
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 08:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil …: 86,0% Quentin …: 14,0%
¿Por qué Kamil Majchrzak?
UTR 15,41 vs 14,75 (+0,69) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kamil … Quentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,64 2,13 61,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,16 86,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Kamil …: +28,4% Quentin …: -28,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamil Majchrzak
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/30 = 66,7%
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 29,0000
rank_ratio 1,4677
log_rank_ratio 0,3837
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 192,0000
best_rank_diff -15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 27,2727
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 24,1653
surface_matches_ratio 0,9091
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 39,3939
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,5405
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,8761
first_serve_won_diff -2,6797
second_serve_won_diff -1,4036
bp_saved_diff 9,2655
bp_converted_diff 1,7815
aces_per_match_diff -5,5576
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,1700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0866
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9620
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6875
serve_consistency_p1 3,1951
serve_consistency_p2 6,1734
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,4652
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1377
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0771
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6900
utr_p1 0,8871
utr_p2 0,8059
utr_advantage 4,5410
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21391
API ID 15310493
Gamdom ID 569683
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21391,
    "api_id": 15310493,
    "gamdom_id": 569683,
    "player1": "Kamil Majchrzak",
    "player2": "Quentin Halys",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-04T04:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.13
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.66,
      "p2": 2.17
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8603,
    "prob_p2": 0.1397,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8603,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8870588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.6899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 1.467741935483871,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 192,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.265454545454539,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
    "utr_advantage": 4.540967423494567,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3837251214717585,
    "rank_advantage": 29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 27.272727272727266,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.7815151515151513,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.876090909090905,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0866141732283465,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.5575757575757585,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.6796969696969626,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.1950758856181314,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.173410010057814,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.465230585593412,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.403636363636359,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9090909090909091,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.169999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1376666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07706060606060605,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 24.165341812400634,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}