Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van Assche
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 08:00
04 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro …: 68,1%
Luca …: 31,9%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,06 vs 14,81
(+0,45)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,54 | 2,33 | 64,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,47 | 3,13 | 68,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alejandro …: +7,3%
Luca …: -7,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/28 = 53,6%
Luca Van Assche
Ranking
#165
UTR Rating
14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 84,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0244 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7053 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 365,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,8125 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0769 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,1250 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,4615 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,0621 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,5505 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,6648 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,1231 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,4478 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,8770 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7586 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3597 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0446 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5188 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0483 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0840 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 3,5714 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0090 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21393
API ID
15310686
Gamdom ID
569749
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21393,
"api_id": 15310686,
"gamdom_id": 569749,
"player1": "Alejandro Tabilo",
"player2": "Luca Van Assche",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6806,
"prob_p2": 0.3194,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6806,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 165,
"utr_singles": 14.81,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.06,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.81,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.4499999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 2.024390243902439,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 365,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.664835164835168,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 3.0090270812437265,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 44,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7052685410922901,
"rank_advantage": 84,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.5714285714285694,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.123076923076923,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.461483516483518,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7586206896551724,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.447802197802198,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.062087912087904,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.359689920423528,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.044580917113153,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.518816218186749,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.550549450549454,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0769230769230769,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.8770000000000095,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 3.5714285714285694,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.048285714285714376,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08400000000000007,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.8125,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}