Cristian Garin vs Michael Mmoh
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 09:25
04 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristian Garin
Cristian …: 74,8%
Michael …: 25,2%
¿Por qué Cristian Garin?
UTR 14,86 vs 14,54
(+0,56)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cristian … | Michael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,56 | 2,28 | 64,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,96 | 74,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cristian …: +12,3%
Michael …: -12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristian Garin
Ranking
#82
UTR Rating
14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#103
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Michael Mmoh
Ranking
#228
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#190
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 208,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,6329 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2900 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 542,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 64,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,3788 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,1484 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4583 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,1435 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,8500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,9500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6742 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 51,0150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 110,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5400 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2156 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1770 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4886 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1625 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2497 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,7576 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8129 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7471 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8278 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21396
API ID
15310685
Gamdom ID
569752
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21396,
"api_id": 15310685,
"gamdom_id": 569752,
"player1": "Cristian Garin",
"player2": "Michael Mmoh",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T05:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.28
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7477,
"prob_p2": 0.2523,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7477,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 82,
"utr_singles": 14.86,
"utr_ranking": 103,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 228,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 190,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.86,
"ranking": 103,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.54,
"ranking": 190,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7470588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 3.632911392405063,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 542,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.699999999999989,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 69.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 3.827751196172252,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 64,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2900343632925995,
"rank_advantage": 208,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.37878787878787534,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.949999999999989,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.143484848484853,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.54,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6742424242424239,
"combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.8999999999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.215601363891361,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.176994192552047,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.48864938003507113,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.8500000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4583333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 51.015,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.7575757575757507,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 48,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 110,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16254545454545455,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2496666666666666,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.14841269841269566,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}