Cristian Garin vs Michael Mmoh
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristian Garin
Cristian …: 74,8% Michael …: 25,2%
¿Por qué Cristian Garin?
UTR 14,86 vs 14,54 (+0,56) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cristian … Michael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,56 2,28 64,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,96 74,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Cristian …: +12,3% Michael …: -12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristian Garin
Ranking #82
UTR Rating 14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #103
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Michael Mmoh
Ranking #228
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #190
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 208,0000
rank_ratio 3,6329
log_rank_ratio 1,2900
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 542,0000
best_rank_diff 64,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,3788
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,1484
surface_matches_ratio 0,4583
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 54,1667
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,5714
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,6233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,1435
first_serve_won_diff 1,9000
second_serve_won_diff 0,8500
bp_saved_diff 6,7000
bp_converted_diff 4,9500
aces_per_match_diff -1,6742
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 70,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 51,0150
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 48,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 110,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5400
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 8,2156
serve_consistency_p2 7,1770
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4886
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1625
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2497
elite_surface_amplifier 0,7576
UTR
utr_diff 0,5600
utr_p1 0,8129
utr_p2 0,7471
utr_advantage 3,8278
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21396
API ID 15310685
Gamdom ID 569752
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21396,
    "api_id": 15310685,
    "gamdom_id": 569752,
    "player1": "Cristian Garin",
    "player2": "Michael Mmoh",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T05:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.28
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7477,
    "prob_p2": 0.2523,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7477,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 82,
      "utr_singles": 14.86,
      "utr_ranking": 103,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 228,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 190,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.86,
      "ranking": 103,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 190,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8129411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.7470588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 3.632911392405063,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 542,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.699999999999989,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 69.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 3.827751196172252,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 64,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2900343632925995,
    "rank_advantage": 208,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.37878787878787534,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.949999999999989,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.143484848484853,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.54,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6742424242424239,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.8999999999999915,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.215601363891361,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.176994192552047,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.48864938003507113,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.8500000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4583333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 51.015,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.7575757575757507,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 48,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 110,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16254545454545455,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2496666666666666,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.14841269841269566,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}