Emilio Nava vs Kai Thompson
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 11:05
04 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Emilio …: 91,8%
Kai …: 8,2%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emilio … | Kai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,00 | 41,00 | 99,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,09 | 12,21 | 91,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Emilio …: -5,8%
Kai …: +5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Kai Thompson
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 412,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,6818 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7373 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 677,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 412,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0526 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 15,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 70,7300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 74,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 51,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 70,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 35,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9,2000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6585 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,6038 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 92,6545 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3787 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0880 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 106,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8129 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8129 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21397
API ID
15310710
Gamdom ID
569750
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21397,
"api_id": 15310710,
"gamdom_id": 569750,
"player1": "Emilio Nava",
"player2": "Kai Thompson",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.004,
"p2": 41.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": 12.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.01,
"p2": 24.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9181,
"prob_p2": 0.0819,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9181,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 14.99,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.99,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8129411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.8129411764705883,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 5.681818181818182,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 677,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 70.3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 412,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.7372712839439852,
"rank_advantage": 412,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 35.4,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 70.72999999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 9.2,
"combined_confidence": 0.4,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 74.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.60380971592312,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 92.65446847701254,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 51.1,
"surface_matches_ratio": 15.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.799999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 106.66666666666667,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 52,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3786666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08799999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.052631578947367,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}