Emilio Nava vs Kai Thompson
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Emilio …: 91,8% Kai …: 8,2%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emilio … Kai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,00 41,00 99,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,09 12,21 91,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Emilio …: -5,8% Kai …: +5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Kai Thompson
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 412,0000
rank_ratio 5,6818
log_rank_ratio 1,7373
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 677,0000
best_rank_diff 412,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 53,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,0526
surface_matches_ratio 15,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 70,7300
first_serve_won_diff 74,0000
second_serve_won_diff 51,1000
bp_saved_diff 70,3000
bp_converted_diff 35,4000
aces_per_match_diff 9,2000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,8000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 52,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6585
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,6038
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 92,6545
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3787
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0880
elite_surface_amplifier 106,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8129
utr_p2 0,8129
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21397
API ID 15310710
Gamdom ID 569750
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21397,
    "api_id": 15310710,
    "gamdom_id": 569750,
    "player1": "Emilio Nava",
    "player2": "Kai Thompson",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.004,
      "p2": 41.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": 12.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 24.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9181,
    "prob_p2": 0.0819,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9181,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8129411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.8129411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 5.681818181818182,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 677,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 70.3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 412,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7372712839439852,
    "rank_advantage": 412,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 35.4,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 70.72999999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.2,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 74.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.60380971592312,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 92.65446847701254,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 51.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 15.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.799999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 106.66666666666667,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 52,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3786666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08799999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.052631578947367,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}