Vitaliy Sachko vs Patrick Kypson
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 10:10
04 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patrick Kypson
Vitaliy …: 34,0%
Patrick …: 66,0%
¿Por qué Patrick Kypson?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,80
(-0,52)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Vitaliy … | Patrick … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,36 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,00 | 1,34 | 33,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,94 | 1,51 | 34,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Vitaliy …: +2,7%
Patrick …: -2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitaliy Sachko
Ranking
#166
UTR Rating
14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#288
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Patrick Kypson
Ranking
#116
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
38/51 = 74,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6982 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3592 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -184,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,6637 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,1010 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5098 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 74,5098 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,7273 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,4153 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,6376 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7170 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,0670 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,0507 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,5407 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22,1800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 57,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 55,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9965 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,4108 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,4227 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0895 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1941 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7882 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,6011 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21398
API ID
15310688
Gamdom ID
569753
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21398,
"api_id": 15310688,
"gamdom_id": 569753,
"player1": "Vitaliy Sachko",
"player2": "Patrick Kypson",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3636363636363638
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.34
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.03,
"p2": 1.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3396,
"prob_p2": 0.6604,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6604,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 166,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 288,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 116,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.50980392156863,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 51,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.19,
"ranking": 288,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.7882352941176469,
"utr_diff": -0.5199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.6982248520710059,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -184,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.066968325791848,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -41.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 74.50980392156863,
"utr_advantage": -3.601108033240994,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -39,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3592140904574087,
"rank_advantage": -51,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.55,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.663650075414786,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.050678733031674,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 51,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.415316742081451,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.540723981900452,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.637556561085987,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.996514175756518,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.410793614779204,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.4226742673702875,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7169683257918535,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5098039215686274,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.179999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 55,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08946153846153848,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19409803921568625,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.101010101010104,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}