Vitaliy Sachko vs Patrick Kypson
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patrick Kypson
Vitaliy …: 34,0% Patrick …: 66,0%
¿Por qué Patrick Kypson?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,80 (-0,52) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vitaliy … Patrick … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 3,00 1,34 33,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,94 1,51 34,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Vitaliy …: +2,7% Patrick …: -2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitaliy Sachko
Ranking #166
UTR Rating 14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #288
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Patrick Kypson
Ranking #116
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 38/51 = 74,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -51,0000
rank_ratio 0,6982
log_rank_ratio -0,3592
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -184,0000
best_rank_diff -39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20,6637
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,1010
surface_matches_ratio 0,5098
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 74,5098
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,7273
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 51,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,4153
first_serve_won_diff -7,6376
second_serve_won_diff -1,7170
bp_saved_diff -8,0670
bp_converted_diff -6,0507
aces_per_match_diff -3,5407
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,1800
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 57,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 55,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5500
serve_consistency_p1 7,9965
serve_consistency_p2 4,4108
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,4227
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0895
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1941
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5200
utr_p1 0,7271
utr_p2 0,7882
utr_advantage -3,6011
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21398
API ID 15310688
Gamdom ID 569753
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21398,
    "api_id": 15310688,
    "gamdom_id": 569753,
    "player1": "Vitaliy Sachko",
    "player2": "Patrick Kypson",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T06:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.34
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.03,
      "p2": 1.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3396,
    "prob_p2": 0.6604,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6604,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 166,
      "utr_singles": 14.19,
      "utr_ranking": 288,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 116,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.50980392156863,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 51,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.19,
      "ranking": 288,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7270588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.7882352941176469,
    "utr_diff": -0.5199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6982248520710059,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -184,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.066968325791848,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -41.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 74.50980392156863,
    "utr_advantage": -3.601108033240994,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -39,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3592140904574087,
    "rank_advantage": -51,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.55,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.663650075414786,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.050678733031674,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 51,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.415316742081451,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.540723981900452,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.637556561085987,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.996514175756518,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.410793614779204,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.4226742673702875,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7169683257918535,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5098039215686274,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.179999999999993,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 55,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08946153846153848,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19409803921568625,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.101010101010104,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}