Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zsombor Piros
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 11:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zsombor Piros
Jan-Lennard …: 43,7% Zsombor …: 56,3%
¿Por qué Zsombor Piros?
UTR 15,12 vs 14,88 (+0,30) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jan-Lennard … Zsombor … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,38 2,80 72,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,29 1,78 43,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Jan-Lennard …: -27,2% Zsombor …: +27,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Zsombor Piros
Ranking #170
UTR Rating 14,88 Pro
UTR Ranking #98
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Hard 9/14 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 81,0000
rank_ratio 1,9759
log_rank_ratio 0,6810
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 358,0000
best_rank_diff 85,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,9780
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,0296
surface_matches_ratio 1,8571
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 64,2857
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1111
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,6767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,9059
first_serve_won_diff 10,4907
second_serve_won_diff -6,5159
bp_saved_diff -4,6929
bp_converted_diff -21,9423
aces_per_match_diff 5,8077
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13,1400
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 61,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 83,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0606
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3922
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3882
serve_consistency_p2 5,9976
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -14,9676
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1579
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2239
elite_surface_amplifier -21,9780
UTR
utr_diff 0,3000
utr_p1 0,8506
utr_p2 0,8153
utr_advantage 1,9894
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21399
API ID 15310683
Gamdom ID 569754
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21399,
    "api_id": 15310683,
    "gamdom_id": 569754,
    "player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "player2": "Zsombor Piros",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T07:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.38,
      "p2": 2.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.82
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4369,
    "prob_p2": 0.5631,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5631,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 170,
      "utr_singles": 14.88,
      "utr_ranking": 98,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 98,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8152941176470588,
    "utr_diff": 0.3000000000000007,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 358,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.69285714285715,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
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    "utr_advantage": 1.9893899204244079,
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    "best_rank_diff": 85,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6810258200276005,
    "rank_advantage": 81,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.978021978021985,
    "bp_converted_diff": -21.942307692307693,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.905934065934062,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.39215686274509803,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.807692307692308,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.490659340659342,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.388168025888453,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.997614809487354,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -14.967600440167049,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.515934065934061,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.8571428571428572,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": -21.978021978021985,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 83,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1579230769230769,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22385714285714287,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.029629629629632,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}