Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zsombor Piros
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 11:50
04 Ene 2026, 11:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zsombor Piros
Jan-Lennard …: 43,7%
Zsombor …: 56,3%
¿Por qué Zsombor Piros?
UTR 15,12 vs 14,88
(+0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan-Lennard … | Zsombor … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,38 | 2,80 | 72,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,29 | 1,78 | 43,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jan-Lennard …: -27,2%
Zsombor …: +27,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Zsombor Piros
Ranking
#170
UTR Rating
14,88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#98
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
9/14 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 81,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9759 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6810 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 358,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 85,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,9780 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,0296 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,8571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,9059 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,4907 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,5159 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,6929 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -21,9423 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,8077 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,1400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 61,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 83,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0606 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3922 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3882 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9976 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -14,9676 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1579 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2239 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -21,9780 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8153 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9894 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21399
API ID
15310683
Gamdom ID
569754
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21399,
"api_id": 15310683,
"gamdom_id": 569754,
"player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"player2": "Zsombor Piros",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-04T07:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.38,
"p2": 2.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4369,
"prob_p2": 0.5631,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5631,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 170,
"utr_singles": 14.88,
"utr_ranking": 98,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 98,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8152941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.3000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.9759036144578312,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 358,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.69285714285715,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
"utr_advantage": 1.9893899204244079,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 85,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6810258200276005,
"rank_advantage": 81,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.978021978021985,
"bp_converted_diff": -21.942307692307693,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.905934065934062,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.39215686274509803,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.807692307692308,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.490659340659342,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.388168025888453,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.997614809487354,
"surface_rank_synergy": -14.967600440167049,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.515934065934061,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.8571428571428572,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.140000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -21.978021978021985,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 61,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 83,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1579230769230769,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22385714285714287,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.029629629629632,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}