Nishesh Basavareddy vs Yunchaokete Bu
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Qualification Round 1
04 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh …: 64,3% Yunchaokete …: 35,7%
¿Por qué Nishesh Basavareddy?
UTR 15,04 vs 14,91 (+0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nishesh … Yunchaokete … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 1,91 55,6%
Gamdom 1,65 2,11 60,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,80 64,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Nishesh …: +12,9% Yunchaokete …: -12,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking #242
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/37 = 56,8%
Yunchaokete Bu
Ranking #120
UTR Rating 14,91 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/33 = 42,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -44,0000
rank_ratio 0,7365
log_rank_ratio -0,3058
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -150,0000
best_rank_diff -35,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,3325
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,8543
surface_matches_ratio 1,1212
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,7568
surface_wr_p2 42,4242
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0976
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,2432
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1351
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,0293
first_serve_won_diff -2,8459
second_serve_won_diff 6,1305
bp_saved_diff -10,0501
bp_converted_diff 5,5757
aces_per_match_diff -2,2228
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -39,9200
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 36,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6471
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2821
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0833
serve_consistency_p1 12,0623
serve_consistency_p2 4,3660
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,3830
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1116
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1198
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1500
utr_p1 0,8471
utr_p2 0,8294
utr_advantage 0,9917
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21400
API ID 15310711
Gamdom ID 569746
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21400,
    "api_id": 15310711,
    "gamdom_id": 569746,
    "player1": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
    "player2": "Yunchaokete Bu",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-04T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.9090909090909092
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6433,
    "prob_p2": 0.3567,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6433,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 242,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 120,
      "utr_singles": 14.91,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.42424242424242,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.91,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8470588235294116,
    "utr_p2": 0.8294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.14999999999999858,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7365269461077845,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -150,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.050122850122847,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.42424242424242,
    "utr_advantage": 0.9917355371900731,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -35,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.30580945704433754,
    "rank_advantage": -44,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.08333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 14.332514332514336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.575675675675683,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.029344799344813,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2820512820512822,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.222768222768223,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.845945945945971,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13513513513513514,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.062342361288943,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.366033251355202,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.3830184261063945,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.09756097560976,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.24324324324324,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.130548730548739,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.121212121212121,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -39.92,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 36,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11156756756756758,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11975757575757584,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.854317732366518,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}