Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwe
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 04:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Darja Semenistaja
Darja …: 52,7% Whitney …: 47,3%
¿Por qué Darja Semenistaja?
UTR 11,94 vs 11,51 (+0,52) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Darja … Whitney … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,26 3,50 79,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,90 2,12 52,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Darja …: -22,3% Whitney …: +22,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #121
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Whitney Osuigwe
Ranking #152
UTR Rating 11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #268
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 57,0000
rank_ratio 1,5644
log_rank_ratio 0,4475
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 324,0000
best_rank_diff 18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,4644
surface_matches_ratio 0,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,4218
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,7056
first_serve_won_diff 4,2000
second_serve_won_diff -12,5000
bp_saved_diff -17,4000
bp_converted_diff 1,8000
aces_per_match_diff 0,4722
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,5300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7692
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 8,9663
serve_consistency_p2 7,4987
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,7290
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2237
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0263
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5200
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage 4,4369
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21401
API ID 15310376
Gamdom ID 569678
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21401,
    "api_id": 15310376,
    "gamdom_id": 569678,
    "player1": "Darja Semenistaja",
    "player2": "Whitney Osuigwe",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-04T00:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5274,
    "prob_p2": 0.4726,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5274,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 121,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 152,
      "utr_singles": 11.51,
      "utr_ranking": 268,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 121,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.51,
      "ranking": 268,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.5199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5643564356435644,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 324,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -17.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 4.4368600682593815,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4474745161857074,
    "rank_advantage": 57,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.333333333333343,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8000000000000114,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.7055555555555557,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.4722222222222223,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.199999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.966298213301469,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.4986567174477115,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.728954301547566,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.421836228287845,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -12.500000000000007,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.530000000000015,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22366666666666668,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02633333333333332,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4643920595533484,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}