Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Lilli Tagger
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Ene 2026, 05:00
04 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lilli Tagger
Yuliia …: 35,6%
Lilli …: 64,5%
¿Por qué Lilli Tagger?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,89
(-0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yuliia … | Lilli … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,14 | 1,63 | 46,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,81 | 1,55 | 35,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yuliia …: -6,8%
Lilli …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/27 = 37,0%
Lilli Tagger
Ranking
#155
UTR Rating
11,89 Junior
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4071 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3415 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 233,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 89,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,1058 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,7444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,8571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,7097 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,3457 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1429 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22,0850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4333 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0575 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8054 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,8665 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1756 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1174 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,3367 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21402
API ID
15310384
Gamdom ID
569679
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21402,
"api_id": 15310384,
"gamdom_id": 569679,
"player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
"player2": "Lilli Tagger",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-04T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.14,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3555,
"prob_p2": 0.6445,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6445,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 106,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 155,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 106,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_diff": -0.040000000000000924,
"rank_ratio": 1.407079646017699,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 233,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -0.3367003367003445,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 89,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.34151638350789093,
"rank_advantage": 46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.1058201058201,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.34571428571428,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.142857142857143,
"combined_confidence": 0.6466666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.4000000000000057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.057547331694859,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.805372023755225,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.866466969999922,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.8000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.085000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17562962962962964,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11742857142857144,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.744365312107243,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}