Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 07:40
06 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Alycia …: 44,1%
Elisabetta …: 55,9%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 11,84 vs 12,14
(-0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alycia … | Elisabetta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,31 | 1,62 | 43,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,27 | 1,79 | 44,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alycia …: +0,9%
Elisabetta …: -0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alycia Parks
Ranking
#99
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#157
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/41 = 51,2%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0641 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0621 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 19,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,5528 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,0523 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0244 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 15,9766 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,0198 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9052 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0620 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4306 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,7976 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,1700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 23,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5733 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8232 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0114 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,2829 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0072 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0283 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,8476 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21413
API ID
15310809
Gamdom ID
569795
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21413,
"api_id": 15310809,
"gamdom_id": 569795,
"player1": "Alycia Parks",
"player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T03:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.31,
"p2": 1.62
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.27,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4409,
"prob_p2": 0.5591,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5591,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 99,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 157,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.84,
"ranking": 157,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.14,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.064102564102564,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 19,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0619512195121885,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": -2.847571189279731,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.06213178110700618,
"rank_advantage": 5,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.552845528455286,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.430569105691049,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 15.97656097560975,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.25,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.797560975609756,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.019756097560986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.024390243902439025,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.823214774418161,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.011386486459557,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.2828764017879957,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.9052032520325213,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.1699999999999946,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007195121951219519,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.028333333333333377,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.052287581699346,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}