Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Alycia …: 44,1% Elisabetta …: 55,9%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 11,84 vs 12,14 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alycia … Elisabetta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,31 1,62 43,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,27 1,79 44,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alycia …: +0,9% Elisabetta …: -0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alycia Parks
Ranking #99
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #157
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 21/41 = 51,2%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 5,0000
rank_ratio 1,0641
log_rank_ratio 0,0621
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 19,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,5528
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,0523
surface_matches_ratio 1,3667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,2195
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,0588
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0244
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 15,9766
first_serve_won_diff 7,0198
second_serve_won_diff 2,9052
bp_saved_diff 1,0620
bp_converted_diff -3,4306
aces_per_match_diff 5,7976
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,1700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 23,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5733
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1429
serve_consistency_p1 5,8232
serve_consistency_p2 11,0114
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2829
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0072
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0283
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,4435
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -2,8476
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21413
API ID 15310809
Gamdom ID 569795
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21413,
    "api_id": 15310809,
    "gamdom_id": 569795,
    "player1": "Alycia Parks",
    "player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T03:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.31,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.27,
      "p2": 1.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4409,
    "prob_p2": 0.5591,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5591,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 99,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 157,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 157,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.14,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.064102564102564,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 19,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.0619512195121885,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": -2.847571189279731,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.06213178110700618,
    "rank_advantage": 5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.552845528455286,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.430569105691049,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 15.97656097560975,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.25,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.797560975609756,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.019756097560986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.024390243902439025,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.823214774418161,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.011386486459557,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.2828764017879957,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.9052032520325213,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.1699999999999946,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007195121951219519,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.028333333333333377,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.052287581699346,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}