Donna Vekić vs Alexandra Eala
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 10:35
06 Ene 2026, 10:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Donna …: 16,2%
Alexandra …: 83,8%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Donna … | Alexandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,17 | 1,19 | 16,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Donna …: -29,0%
Alexandra …: +29,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/20 = 35,0%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7681 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2638 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -181,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -30,3846 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,8056 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,7746 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6923 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,6840 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 65,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 66,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8511 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1837 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 22,7681 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6558 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,0159 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1340 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1378 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21415
API ID
15310807
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21415,
"api_id": 15310807,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
"player2": "Alexandra Eala",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T06:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1621,
"prob_p2": 0.8379,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8379,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7681159420289855,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": -181,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.8000000000000043,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 33,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2638145910451376,
"rank_advantage": -16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -30.384615384615387,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.3999999999999915,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.7746153846153874,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6923076923076923,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
"serve_consistency_p1": 22.768128054666942,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.655772798463327,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.015904881756105,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.6999999999999886,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7692307692307693,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.683999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 65,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.134,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13784615384615384,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.80555555555555,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}