Donna Vekić vs Alexandra Eala
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 10:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Donna …: 16,2% Alexandra …: 83,8%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Donna … Alexandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
IA Fair Odds 6,17 1,19 16,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Donna …: -29,0% Alexandra …: +29,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/20 = 35,0%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #59
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -16,0000
rank_ratio 0,7681
log_rank_ratio -0,2638
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -181,0000
best_rank_diff 33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -30,3846
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,8056
surface_matches_ratio 0,7692
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 35,0000
surface_wr_p2 65,3846
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,3333
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,7746
first_serve_won_diff 1,0000
second_serve_won_diff -3,7000
bp_saved_diff 3,8000
bp_converted_diff 4,4000
aces_per_match_diff 1,6923
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,6840
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 65,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 66,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8511
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1837
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 22,7681
serve_consistency_p2 6,6558
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,0159
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1340
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1378
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4871
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21415
API ID 15310807
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21415,
    "api_id": 15310807,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
    "player2": "Alexandra Eala",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T06:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": 1.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1621,
    "prob_p2": 0.8379,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8379,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 72,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
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      "utr_pro": true,
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      "wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
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      "wr_surface_total": 26,
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      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
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    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": -181,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
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    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 4.3999999999999915,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.7746153846153874,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6923076923076923,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 22.768128054666942,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.655772798463327,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.015904881756105,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.6999999999999886,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 65,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}