Magda Linette vs Venus Williams
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Magda Linette
Magda …: 78,8% Venus …: 21,2%
¿Por qué Magda Linette?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,62 (+0,29) — Niveles similares
Magda …
Sin datos
Venus …
W1-L3
25% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Magda … Venus … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,50 83,3%
Gamdom 1,21 4,40 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,27 4,71 78,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Magda …: -0,2% Venus …: +0,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magda Linette
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #75
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Venus Williams
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Magda Linette
Sin datos UTR v4
Venus Williams
Record 2025 1W - 3L (25%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 446,0000
rank_ratio 9,2593
log_rank_ratio 2,2256
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1089,0000
best_rank_diff 481,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 23,3871
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,5667
surface_matches_ratio 7,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,6767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,8229
first_serve_won_diff 1,2903
second_serve_won_diff 8,7645
bp_saved_diff 17,4355
bp_converted_diff -4,9581
aces_per_match_diff 0,2742
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 8,1633
momentum_diff -8,1633
weighted_momentum_diff -7,1017
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 83,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 131,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8451
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9167
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,2212
serve_consistency_p2 9,9306
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 52,0509
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4621
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1960
elite_surface_amplifier 46,7742
UTR
utr_diff 0,2900
utr_p1 0,4859
utr_p2 0,4518
utr_advantage 2,4197
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21418
API ID 15310811
Gamdom ID 569791
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21418,
    "api_id": 15310811,
    "gamdom_id": 569791,
    "player1": "Magda Linette",
    "player2": "Venus Williams",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.31
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7879,
    "prob_p2": 0.2121,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7879,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.62,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.26,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.57,
          "opponent_name": "Karolina Muchova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.27,
          "opponent_name": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.05,
          "opponent_name": "Magdalena Frech"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.15,
          "opponent_name": "Peyton Stearns"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.364977+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  "features": {
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    "points_diff": 1089,
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    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
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    "momentum_diff": -8.16326530612245,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.419691280767634,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 481,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.2256240518579173,
    "rank_advantage": 446,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -4.958064516129035,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.274193548387097,
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    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
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    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.566666666666665,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}