Magda Linette vs Venus Williams
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:35
06 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Magda Linette
Magda …: 78,8%
Venus …: 21,2%
¿Por qué Magda Linette?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,62
(+0,29)
— Niveles similares
Magda …
Sin datos
Venus …
W1-L3
25% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L3
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Magda … | Venus … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,50 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,40 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,27 | 4,71 | 78,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Magda …: -0,2%
Venus …: +0,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magda Linette
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Venus Williams
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Magda Linette
Sin datos UTR v4
Venus Williams
Record 2025
1W - 3L (25%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
12,3
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 446,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,2593 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,2256 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1089,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 481,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,3871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12,5667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,8229 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,2903 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,7645 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 17,4355 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,9581 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2742 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,1633 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,1633 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,1017 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 83,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 131,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8451 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,2212 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9306 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 52,0509 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4621 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1960 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 46,7742 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4197 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21418
API ID
15310811
Gamdom ID
569791
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 15310811,
"gamdom_id": 569791,
"player1": "Magda Linette",
"player2": "Venus Williams",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.4
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": 4.31
}
},
"prediction": {
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"prob_p2": 0.2121,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7879,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
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"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.62,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 1,
"utr_v4_losses": 3,
"utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.26,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.57,
"opponent_name": "Karolina Muchova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.27,
"opponent_name": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.05,
"opponent_name": "Magdalena Frech"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.15,
"opponent_name": "Peyton Stearns"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.364977+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
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},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 9.25925925925926,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
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"points_diff": 1089,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 17.435483870967744,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.25,
"match_load_p1": 0,
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"momentum_diff": -8.16326530612245,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 2.419691280767634,
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"best_rank_diff": 481,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.2256240518579173,
"rank_advantage": 446,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.38709677419355,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.958064516129035,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.8229032258064493,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8450704225352113,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9166666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.274193548387097,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2903225806451672,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {}
}