Monique Barry vs Ella Seidel
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 04:20
06 Ene 2026, 04:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ella Seidel
Monique …: 24,6%
Ella …: 75,4%
¿Por qué Ella Seidel?
UTR 10,24 vs 12,03
(-1,86)
— Ligera ventaja
Monique …
W29-L30
49% WR
vs UTR 10,1
L1
Ella …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Monique … | Ella … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 15,00 | 1,03 | 6,7% |
| Gamdom | 17,00 | 1,01 | 5,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,07 | 1,33 | 24,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Monique …: +18,2%
Ella …: -18,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Monique Barry
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#935
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#82
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#98
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Monique Barry
Record 2025
29W - 30L (49%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Ella Seidel
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -414,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1720 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,7603 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -833,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -416,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,4211 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,0556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0526 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,8718 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,5684 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 21,8132 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,8816 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,3789 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3158 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,7657 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 372,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2209 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,0302 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 32,4259 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,4140 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2298 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,8600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -16,6369 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21419
API ID
15310814
Gamdom ID
569789
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21419,
"api_id": 15310814,
"gamdom_id": 569789,
"player1": "Monique Barry",
"player2": "Ella Seidel",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T00:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 15.0,
"p2": 1.03
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 17.0,
"p2": 1.01
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 17.15,
"p2": 1.01
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2458,
"prob_p2": 0.7542,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7542,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.24,
"utr_ranking": 935,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 49.152542372881356,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.12,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.74,
"opponent_name": "Maddison Inglis"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.65,
"opponent_name": "Elena Jamshidi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.99,
"opponent_name": "Ava-Monet Sycamore"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.19,
"opponent_name": "Arina Varaksina"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.34,
"opponent_name": "Fangran Tian"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.587177+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 82,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 98,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.24,
"ranking": 935,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.03,
"ranking": 98,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -1.8599999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 0.172,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -833,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.8815789473684177,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.857142857142861,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
"utr_advantage": -16.636851520572446,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -416,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.760260802168684,
"rank_advantage": -414,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.421052631578945,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.378947368421052,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.871842105263163,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.3157894736842106,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.568421052631578,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.220946915351508,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.030193056999428,
"surface_rank_synergy": 32.4258568820547,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": 21.81315789473684,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.05263157894736842,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.7657142857142816,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 372,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.41400000000000003,
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"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.05555555555555,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}