Monique Barry vs Ella Seidel
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 04:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ella Seidel
Monique …: 24,6% Ella …: 75,4%
¿Por qué Ella Seidel?
UTR 10,24 vs 12,03 (-1,86) — Ligera ventaja
Monique …
W29-L30
49% WR
vs UTR 10,1
L1
Ella …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Monique … Ella … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 15,00 1,03 6,7%
Gamdom 17,00 1,01 5,9%
IA Fair Odds 4,07 1,33 24,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Monique …: +18,2% Ella …: -18,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Monique Barry
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #935
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Ella Seidel
Ranking #82
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #98
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Monique Barry
Record 2025 29W - 30L (49%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,1
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Ella Seidel
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -414,0000
rank_ratio 0,1720
log_rank_ratio -1,7603
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -833,0000
best_rank_diff -416,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,4211
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,0556
surface_matches_ratio 0,0526
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,8718
first_serve_won_diff -11,5684
second_serve_won_diff 21,8132
bp_saved_diff -0,8816
bp_converted_diff 15,3789
aces_per_match_diff -3,3158
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 42,8571
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 2,8571
weighted_momentum_diff 0,7657
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 372,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 8,2209
serve_consistency_p2 13,0302
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 32,4259
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,4140
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2298
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,8600
utr_p1 0,2647
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -16,6369
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21419
API ID 15310814
Gamdom ID 569789
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21419,
    "api_id": 15310814,
    "gamdom_id": 569789,
    "player1": "Monique Barry",
    "player2": "Ella Seidel",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T00:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 15.0,
      "p2": 1.03
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 17.0,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 17.15,
      "p2": 1.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2458,
    "prob_p2": 0.7542,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7542,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.24,
      "utr_ranking": 935,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 49.152542372881356,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.12,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.74,
          "opponent_name": "Maddison Inglis"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.65,
          "opponent_name": "Elena Jamshidi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.99,
          "opponent_name": "Ava-Monet Sycamore"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.19,
          "opponent_name": "Arina Varaksina"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.34,
          "opponent_name": "Fangran Tian"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.587177+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 82,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 98,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 935,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 98,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": -1.8599999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 0.172,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -833,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.8815789473684177,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.857142857142861,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": -16.636851520572446,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -416,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.760260802168684,
    "rank_advantage": -414,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.421052631578945,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.378947368421052,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.871842105263163,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.3157894736842106,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -11.568421052631578,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.220946915351508,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.030193056999428,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 32.4258568820547,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 21.81315789473684,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.05263157894736842,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 372,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.41400000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22978947368421054,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.05555555555555,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}