Panna Udvardy vs Sara Bejlek
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Panna Udvardy
Panna …: 51,6% Sara …: 48,4%
¿Por qué Panna Udvardy?
UTR 11,79 vs 12,19 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Panna … Sara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,75 1,46 36,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,94 2,07 51,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Panna …: +17,2% Sara …: -17,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Panna Udvardy
Ranking #90
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #158
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 7/10 = 70,0%
Sara Bejlek
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 12,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 1,0000
rank_ratio 1,0110
log_rank_ratio 0,0109
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 3,0000
best_rank_diff -1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,5893
surface_matches_ratio 0,8333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,0000
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,2857
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,4700
first_serve_won_diff 12,7000
second_serve_won_diff 5,4000
bp_saved_diff 20,1000
bp_converted_diff -9,3000
aces_per_match_diff 3,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,3800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 64,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2778
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 12,7578
serve_consistency_p2 7,1419
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,1275
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1990
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0843
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage -1,4090
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21420
API ID 15310812
Gamdom ID 569790
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21420,
    "api_id": 15310812,
    "gamdom_id": 569790,
    "player1": "Panna Udvardy",
    "player2": "Sara Bejlek",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-04T22:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.516,
    "prob_p2": 0.484,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.516,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 90,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 158,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 12.19,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.79,
      "ranking": 158,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.19,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.010989010989011,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 3,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 20.099999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4090343970161618,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.01092907053219023,
    "rank_advantage": 1,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.666666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.300000000000011,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.470000000000006,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2777777777777777,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 12.70000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.757808718772848,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.141890115548364,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.12750582287555265,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.399999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.3799999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19899999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08433333333333337,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.589285714285717,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}