Panna Udvardy vs Sara Bejlek
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 02:30
05 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Panna Udvardy
Panna …: 51,6%
Sara …: 48,4%
¿Por qué Panna Udvardy?
UTR 11,79 vs 12,19
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Panna … | Sara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,75 | 1,46 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,94 | 2,07 | 51,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Panna …: +17,2%
Sara …: -17,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Panna Udvardy
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#158
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
7/10 = 70,0%
Sara Bejlek
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
12,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0110 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0109 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,5893 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,4700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 12,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 20,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,3800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 64,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,7578 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1419 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,1275 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1990 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0843 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4090 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21420
API ID
15310812
Gamdom ID
569790
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21420,
"api_id": 15310812,
"gamdom_id": 569790,
"player1": "Panna Udvardy",
"player2": "Sara Bejlek",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-04T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.516,
"prob_p2": 0.484,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.516,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 90,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 158,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.79,
"ranking": 158,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.19,
"ranking": 57,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.010989010989011,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 3,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 20.099999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": -1.4090343970161618,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.01092907053219023,
"rank_advantage": 1,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.666666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.300000000000011,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.470000000000006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2777777777777777,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.25,
"combined_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 12.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.757808718772848,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.141890115548364,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.12750582287555265,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.399999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.3799999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19899999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08433333333333337,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.589285714285717,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}