Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 12:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Renata Zarazua
Sloane …: 14,2% Renata …: 85,8%
¿Por qué Renata Zarazua?
UTR 11,65 vs 12,08 (-0,84) — Niveles similares
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Renata …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sloane … Renata … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
Gamdom 4,00 1,25 25,0%
IA Fair Odds 7,02 1,17 14,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Sloane …: -9,6% Renata …: +9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sloane Stephens
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #400
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (5p)
WR Hard 0/6 = 0,0%
Renata Zarazua
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025 0W - 5L (0%)
Racha 5L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Renata Zarazua
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -421,0000
rank_ratio 0,1580
log_rank_ratio -1,8452
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -851,0000
best_rank_diff -449,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -42,3077
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,5311
surface_matches_ratio 0,2308
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,3077
surface_wr_p1_stable 12,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,6233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,0456
first_serve_won_diff -3,0923
second_serve_won_diff -12,0923
bp_saved_diff -0,2846
bp_converted_diff 2,8000
aces_per_match_diff 0,5641
Forma
last5_wr_diff -1,0000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -100,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -73,8000
current_streak_diff -10,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 81,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 56,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5200
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 5,1691
serve_consistency_p2 7,2295
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 78,0645
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0790
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4979
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8400
utr_p1 0,3788
utr_p2 0,4776
utr_advantage -7,2165
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21421
API ID 15310805
Gamdom ID 569786
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21421,
    "api_id": 15310805,
    "gamdom_id": 569786,
    "player1": "Sloane Stephens",
    "player2": "Renata Zarazua",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T08:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.03,
      "p2": 1.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1425,
    "prob_p2": 0.8575,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8575,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 400,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 5,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.77,
          "opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 400,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_diff": -0.8399999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.158,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -851,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.2846153846153854,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -99.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
    "utr_advantage": -7.216494845360823,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -449,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.8451602459551701,
    "rank_advantage": -421,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -42.30769230769231,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.799999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.045641025641025,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.52,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.564102564102564,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -10,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.092307692307685,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.169122804482443,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.229504673570584,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 78.06447194425719,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 12.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -12.092307692307685,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.23076923076923078,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -73.8,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 81,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 56,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07899999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.49792307692307697,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.531111111111112,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}