Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 12:45
05 Ene 2026, 12:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Renata Zarazua
Sloane …: 14,2%
Renata …: 85,8%
¿Por qué Renata Zarazua?
UTR 11,65 vs 12,08
(-0,84)
— Niveles similares
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Renata …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sloane … | Renata … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,02 | 1,17 | 14,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sloane …: -9,6%
Renata …: +9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sloane Stephens
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#400
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
0% (5p)
WR Hard
0/6 = 0,0%
Renata Zarazua
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025
0W - 5L (0%)
Racha
5L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Renata Zarazua
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -421,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1580 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8452 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -851,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -449,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,5311 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2308 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 12,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,0456 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,0923 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -12,0923 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,2846 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5641 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -100,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -73,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 81,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 56,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5200 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1691 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,2295 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 78,0645 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0790 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4979 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,2165 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21421
API ID
15310805
Gamdom ID
569786
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21421,
"api_id": 15310805,
"gamdom_id": 569786,
"player1": "Sloane Stephens",
"player2": "Renata Zarazua",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T08:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.03,
"p2": 1.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1425,
"prob_p2": 0.8575,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8575,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 400,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 0,
"utr_v4_losses": 5,
"utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.65,
"opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.77,
"opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 400,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_diff": -0.8399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.158,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -851,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.2846153846153854,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -99.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
"utr_advantage": -7.216494845360823,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -449,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.8451602459551701,
"rank_advantage": -421,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -42.30769230769231,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.045641025641025,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.52,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.564102564102564,
"combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -10,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.092307692307685,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.169122804482443,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 78.06447194425719,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 12.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -12.092307692307685,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.23076923076923078,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -73.8,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 81,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 56,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07899999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.49792307692307697,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.531111111111112,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}