Sonay Kartal vs Janice Tjen
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Janice Tjen
Sonay …: 49,1% Janice …: 50,9%
¿Por qué Janice Tjen?
UTR 12,38 vs 12,29 (-0,05) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sonay … Janice … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,08 1,75 48,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,04 1,97 49,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Sonay …: +3,9% Janice …: -3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonay Kartal
Ranking #66
UTR Rating 12,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #35
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/28 = 57,1%
Janice Tjen
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #43
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -12,0000
rank_ratio 0,8235
log_rank_ratio -0,1942
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -124,0000
best_rank_diff 9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,5238
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,9255
surface_matches_ratio 3,1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,2500
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,0513
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,6767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,3971
first_serve_won_diff -5,9071
second_serve_won_diff 3,5214
bp_saved_diff 5,8429
bp_converted_diff 3,0929
aces_per_match_diff -2,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -38,4000
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 25,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 63,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6757
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8182
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2857
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 7,4203
serve_consistency_p2 5,2609
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,8491
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0834
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1547
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0500
utr_p1 0,5035
utr_p2 0,5094
utr_advantage -0,4063
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21422
API ID 15310813
Gamdom ID 569793
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21422,
    "api_id": 15310813,
    "gamdom_id": 569793,
    "player1": "Sonay Kartal",
    "player2": "Janice Tjen",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-06T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.08,
      "p2": 1.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.12,
      "p2": 1.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4911,
    "prob_p2": 0.5089,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5089,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 66,
      "utr_singles": 12.38,
      "utr_ranking": 35,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 43,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.38,
      "ranking": 35,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 43,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5035294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8235294117647058,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -124,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.842857142857142,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": -0.4063388866314564,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1941560144409575,
    "rank_advantage": -12,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.523809523809518,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.0928571428571416,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.397142857142853,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6756756756756757,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.907142857142851,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.420273547405139,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.260884337770548,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.8491048994376895,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.05128205128205,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.5214285714285722,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -38.4,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 63,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08342857142857141,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1546666666666665,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.9255341880341876,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}