Sonay Kartal vs Janice Tjen
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2026, 05:00
06 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Janice Tjen
Sonay …: 49,1%
Janice …: 50,9%
¿Por qué Janice Tjen?
UTR 12,38 vs 12,29
(-0,05)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sonay … | Janice … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,08 | 1,75 | 48,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,04 | 1,97 | 49,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sonay …: +3,9%
Janice …: -3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonay Kartal
Ranking
#66
UTR Rating
12,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/28 = 57,1%
Janice Tjen
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8235 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1942 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -124,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,5238 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,9255 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,0513 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,3971 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,9071 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,5214 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,8429 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,0929 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,2500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -38,4000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 63,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6757 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8182 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4203 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2609 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,8491 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0834 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1547 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,4063 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21422
API ID
15310813
Gamdom ID
569793
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21422,
"api_id": 15310813,
"gamdom_id": 569793,
"player1": "Sonay Kartal",
"player2": "Janice Tjen",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-06T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.08,
"p2": 1.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.12,
"p2": 1.71
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4911,
"prob_p2": 0.5089,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5089,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": 12.38,
"utr_ranking": 35,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.38,
"ranking": 35,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.29,
"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 0.8235294117647058,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -124,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.842857142857142,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -0.4063388866314564,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1941560144409575,
"rank_advantage": -12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.523809523809518,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.0928571428571416,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.397142857142853,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6756756756756757,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.25,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.907142857142851,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.420273547405139,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.260884337770548,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.8491048994376895,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.05128205128205,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.5214285714285722,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.111111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -38.4,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 63,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08342857142857141,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1546666666666665,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.9255341880341876,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}