Xinyu Wang vs Catherine McNally
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 04:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 50,3% Catherine …: 49,7%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xinyu … Catherine … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,99 1,82 50,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,99 2,01 50,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Xinyu …: +0,3% Catherine …: -0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Catherine McNally
Ranking #85
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 28,0000
rank_ratio 1,4912
log_rank_ratio 0,3996
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 220,0000
best_rank_diff 22,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,9365
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,4710
surface_matches_ratio 1,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 52,3810
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,1613
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,4722
first_serve_won_diff 0,8778
second_serve_won_diff -1,6704
bp_saved_diff -9,4111
bp_converted_diff -2,9519
aces_per_match_diff 0,7672
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -42,9340
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 76,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 72,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7416
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4648
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 4,5838
serve_consistency_p2 7,8375
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,1714
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0836
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0518
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21423
API ID 15310806
Gamdom ID 569796
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21423,
    "api_id": 15310806,
    "gamdom_id": 569796,
    "player1": "Xinyu Wang",
    "player2": "Catherine McNally",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T00:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.99,
      "p2": 1.82
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.97,
      "p2": 1.82
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5033,
    "prob_p2": 0.4967,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5033,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_division": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
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    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
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    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 220,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.411111111111126,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.38095238095239,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.936507936507944,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.951851851851856,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.4721693121693207,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4647887323943662,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7671957671957674,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.87777777777778,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.58384644762821,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.837536442456456,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.1714284813949734,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.670370370370371,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -42.93400000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "days_since_last_match_p2": 72,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0835555555555556,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.470967741935488,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}