Xinyu Wang vs Catherine McNally
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 04:25
05 Ene 2026, 04:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 50,3%
Catherine …: 49,7%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Xinyu … | Catherine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,99 | 1,82 | 50,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,99 | 2,01 | 50,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Xinyu …: +0,3%
Catherine …: -0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Catherine McNally
Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 28,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4912 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3996 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 220,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,9365 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,4710 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,1613 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,4722 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8778 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,6704 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,4111 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,9519 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7672 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -42,9340 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 76,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7416 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4648 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5838 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8375 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,1714 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0836 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0518 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21423
API ID
15310806
Gamdom ID
569796
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21423,
"api_id": 15310806,
"gamdom_id": 569796,
"player1": "Xinyu Wang",
"player2": "Catherine McNally",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T00:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.99,
"p2": 1.82
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.97,
"p2": 1.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5033,
"prob_p2": 0.4967,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5033,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.4912280701754386,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 220,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.411111111111126,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.38095238095239,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 22,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3995999886557663,
"rank_advantage": 28,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.936507936507944,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.951851851851856,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.4721693121693207,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4647887323943662,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7671957671957674,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.87777777777778,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.58384644762821,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.837536442456456,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.1714284813949734,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.670370370370371,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -42.93400000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 76,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 72,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0835555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05180952380952386,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.470967741935488,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}