Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zizou Bergs
United Cup | Hard |
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix …: 63,7%
Zizou …: 36,3%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,92 vs 15,15
(+0,76)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Felix … | Zizou … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 4,20 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,57 | 2,75 | 63,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Felix …: -12,5%
Zizou …: +12,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
37/52 = 71,2%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
23/39 = 59,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 37,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1282 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2982,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,1795 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,5033 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,1395 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4231 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,6659 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,7692 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,5615 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 13,4885 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,2962 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,7564 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 44,8040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 51,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0871 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6713 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7600 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3250 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0965 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25,9208 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1745 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1267 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 24,3590 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8529 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,8624 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21439
API ID
15141983
Gamdom ID
479634
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21439,
"api_id": 15141983,
"gamdom_id": 479634,
"player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"player2": "Zizou Bergs",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6366,
"prob_p2": 0.3634,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6366,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.92,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.15,
"ranking": 72,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9423529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.8529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.7600000000000016,
"rank_ratio": 8.4,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": 2982,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 13.488461538461522,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.15384615384616,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.97435897435898,
"utr_advantage": 4.862444017914277,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.128231705849268,
"rank_advantage": 37,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.76,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.179487179487182,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.296153846153842,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.665897435897435,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0870967741935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6713286713286714,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.7564102564102564,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.769230769230774,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4230769230769231,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.324960429396096,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.096549242247709,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.920770776369295,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.64285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.139534883720934,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.5615384615384684,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 44.803999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.358974358974365,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 51,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17453846153846164,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12674358974358968,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.503322259136205,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}