Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zizou Bergs
United Cup | Hard |
06 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix …: 63,7% Zizou …: 36,3%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,92 vs 15,15 (+0,76) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Felix … Zizou … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,23 4,20 81,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,57 2,75 63,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Felix …: -12,5% Zizou …: +12,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #5
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 37/52 = 71,2%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking #43
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 23/39 = 59,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 37,0000
rank_ratio 8,4000
log_rank_ratio 2,1282
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2982,0000
best_rank_diff 34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,1795
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,5033
surface_matches_ratio 1,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1538
surface_wr_p2 58,9744
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6429
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,1395
p1_surface_matches 52,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4231
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,6659
first_serve_won_diff 4,7692
second_serve_won_diff 2,5615
bp_saved_diff 13,4885
bp_converted_diff -6,2962
aces_per_match_diff 3,7564
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 44,8040
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 51,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0871
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6713
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7600
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 8,3250
serve_consistency_p2 6,0965
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,9208
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1745
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1267
elite_surface_amplifier 24,3590
UTR
utr_diff 0,7600
utr_p1 0,9424
utr_p2 0,8529
utr_advantage 4,8624
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21439
API ID 15141983
Gamdom ID 479634
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21439,
    "api_id": 15141983,
    "gamdom_id": 479634,
    "player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
    "player2": "Zizou Bergs",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6366,
    "prob_p2": 0.3634,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6366,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 15.92,
      "utr_ranking": 5,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 43,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.92,
      "ranking": 5,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9423529411764707,
    "utr_p2": 0.8529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.7600000000000016,
    "rank_ratio": 8.4,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": 2982,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 13.488461538461522,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.15384615384616,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.97435897435898,
    "utr_advantage": 4.862444017914277,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 34,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.128231705849268,
    "rank_advantage": 37,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.76,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.179487179487182,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.296153846153842,
    "p1_surface_matches": 52,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.665897435897435,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0870967741935484,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6713286713286714,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.7564102564102564,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.769230769230774,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4230769230769231,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.324960429396096,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.096549242247709,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.920770776369295,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.64285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.139534883720934,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.5615384615384684,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 44.803999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 24.358974358974365,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 51,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17453846153846164,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12674358974358968,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.503322259136205,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}