Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Rinderknech
United Cup | Hard |
06 Ene 2026, 06:00
06 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Rinderknech
Flavio …: 33,8%
Arthur …: 66,2%
¿Por qué Arthur Rinderknech?
UTR 15,33 vs 15,47
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Flavio … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,72 | 2,14 | 58,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,96 | 1,51 | 33,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Flavio …: -18,8%
Arthur …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Flavio Cobolli
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
15,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#44
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/31 = 38,7%
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking
#28
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/35 = 45,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 7,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2763 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 473,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,0046 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,1538 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38,7097 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,1538 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2258 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,5363 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,2547 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,2314 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,0792 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,2946 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,5392 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18,8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6633 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5103 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6883 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,9350 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1199 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0359 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0943 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21441
API ID
15141895
Gamdom ID
479617
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21441,
"api_id": 15141895,
"gamdom_id": 479617,
"player1": "Flavio Cobolli",
"player2": "Arthur Rinderknech",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-06T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3379,
"prob_p2": 0.6621,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6621,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 15.33,
"utr_ranking": 44,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.70967741935484,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 28,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.33,
"ranking": 44,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.47,
"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.3181818181818181,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 473,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.079170506912462,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 14.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.70967741935484,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.714285714285715,
"utr_advantage": -1.0943031863533952,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.27625337662815813,
"rank_advantage": 7,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.0046082949308754,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.294562211981564,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.536285714285711,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6633165829145728,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0818181818181818,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.539170506912442,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.254746543778808,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.22580645161290322,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.51033424773572,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.688255831025553,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.9350466934322597,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.15384615384615,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.23142857142858,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.88000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11990322580645163,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.035857142857142865,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.153846153846153,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}