Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Rinderknech
United Cup | Hard |
06 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Rinderknech
Flavio …: 33,8% Arthur …: 66,2%
¿Por qué Arthur Rinderknech?
UTR 15,33 vs 15,47 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Flavio … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,72 2,14 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,96 1,51 33,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Flavio …: -18,8% Arthur …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Flavio Cobolli
Ranking #22
UTR Rating 15,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #44
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/31 = 38,7%
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking #28
UTR Rating 15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/35 = 45,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 7,0000
rank_ratio 1,3182
log_rank_ratio 0,2763
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 473,0000
best_rank_diff 10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,0046
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,1538
surface_matches_ratio 0,8857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 38,7097
surface_wr_p2 45,7143
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,1538
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2258
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,5363
first_serve_won_diff -4,2547
second_serve_won_diff 2,2314
bp_saved_diff -7,0792
bp_converted_diff -2,2946
aces_per_match_diff -5,5392
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,8800
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6633
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 9,5103
serve_consistency_p2 5,6883
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,9350
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1199
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0359
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,8765
utr_p2 0,8965
utr_advantage -1,0943
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21441
API ID 15141895
Gamdom ID 479617
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21441,
    "api_id": 15141895,
    "gamdom_id": 479617,
    "player1": "Flavio Cobolli",
    "player2": "Arthur Rinderknech",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-06T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.14
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3379,
    "prob_p2": 0.6621,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6621,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 22,
      "utr_singles": 15.33,
      "utr_ranking": 44,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.70967741935484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 28,
      "utr_singles": 15.47,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.33,
      "ranking": 44,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.47,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.896470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3181818181818181,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 473,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.079170506912462,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 14.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 38.70967741935484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.714285714285715,
    "utr_advantage": -1.0943031863533952,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.27625337662815813,
    "rank_advantage": 7,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.0046082949308754,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.294562211981564,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.536285714285711,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6633165829145728,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0818181818181818,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.539170506912442,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.254746543778808,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.22580645161290322,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.51033424773572,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.688255831025553,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.9350466934322597,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.15384615384615,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.23142857142858,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8857142857142857,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.88000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11990322580645163,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.035857142857142865,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.153846153846153,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}