Maya Joint vs Barbora Krejcikova
United Cup | Hard |
06 Ene 2026, 10:30
06 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Barbora Krejcikova
Maya …: 47,9%
Barbora …: 52,1%
¿Por qué Barbora Krejcikova?
UTR 12,15 vs 12,41
(-0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maya … | Barbora … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,07 | 1,76 | 48,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,09 | 1,92 | 47,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maya …: +0,6%
Barbora …: -0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#68
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
29/47 = 61,7%
Barbora Krejcikova
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#31
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0313 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7087 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 549,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -30,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,0038 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,8777 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,7647 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,7021 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,7843 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2340 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,5604 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,6974 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,0861 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,4195 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0188 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,0600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 66,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 27,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4054 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7669 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6884 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,0600 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,1286 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0840 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1801 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -3,0038 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5200 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9512 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21444
API ID
15141982
Gamdom ID
479636
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21444,
"api_id": 15141982,
"gamdom_id": 479636,
"player1": "Maya Joint",
"player2": "Barbora Krejcikova",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-06T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.07,
"p2": 1.76
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.02,
"p2": 1.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4793,
"prob_p2": 0.5207,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5207,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 68,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 31,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 68,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 31,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.52,
"utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 2.03125,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 549,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.400000000000013,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 29.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.702127659574465,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -1.9512195121951237,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -30,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7086513670959106,
"rank_advantage": 33,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.0037546933667088,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.419524405506877,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.560400500625789,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40540540540540543,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7668711656441718,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.018773466833542,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.69737171464331,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23404255319148937,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.688355619970177,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.059959100246418,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.1286148698750758,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.78431372549019,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0861076345431755,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.764705882352941,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.060000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -3.0037546933667088,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 66,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 27,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08402127659574476,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1800588235294116,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8776844070961742,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}