Maya Joint vs Barbora Krejcikova
United Cup | Hard |
06 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Barbora Krejcikova
Maya …: 47,9% Barbora …: 52,1%
¿Por qué Barbora Krejcikova?
UTR 12,15 vs 12,41 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maya … Barbora … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,80 50,0%
Gamdom 2,07 1,76 48,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,09 1,92 47,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Maya …: +0,6% Barbora …: -0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #68
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 29/47 = 61,7%
Barbora Krejcikova
Ranking #58
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #31
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 33,0000
rank_ratio 2,0313
log_rank_ratio 0,7087
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 549,0000
best_rank_diff -30,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,0038
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,8777
surface_matches_ratio 2,7647
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,7021
surface_wr_p2 64,7059
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,7843
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,9048
p1_surface_matches 47,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2340
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,5604
first_serve_won_diff -7,6974
second_serve_won_diff 1,0861
bp_saved_diff -3,4000
bp_converted_diff 0,4195
aces_per_match_diff -2,0188
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,0600
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 66,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 27,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4054
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7669
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6884
serve_consistency_p2 14,0600
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,1286
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0840
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1801
elite_surface_amplifier -3,0038
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,5200
utr_advantage -1,9512
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21444
API ID 15141982
Gamdom ID 479636
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21444,
    "api_id": 15141982,
    "gamdom_id": 479636,
    "player1": "Maya Joint",
    "player2": "Barbora Krejcikova",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-06T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.07,
      "p2": 1.76
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.02,
      "p2": 1.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4793,
    "prob_p2": 0.5207,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5207,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 68,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 58,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 31,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 68,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 31,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.52,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 2.03125,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 549,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.400000000000013,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 29.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.702127659574465,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": -1.9512195121951237,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -30,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7086513670959106,
    "rank_advantage": 33,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.0037546933667088,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.419524405506877,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.560400500625789,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40540540540540543,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7668711656441718,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.018773466833542,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.69737171464331,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23404255319148937,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.688355619970177,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.059959100246418,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.1286148698750758,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.78431372549019,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.0861076345431755,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.764705882352941,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.060000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -3.0037546933667088,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 66,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 27,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08402127659574476,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1800588235294116,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8776844070961742,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}