David Duong vs Maciej Rajski
UTR Newport Beach M01 | Hard |
08 Ene 2026, 01:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maciej Rajski
David …: 28,5% Maciej …: 71,5%
¿Por qué Maciej Rajski?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,36 (-1,33) — Ligera ventaja
David …
W29-L33
47% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L1
Maciej …
W81-L17
83% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente David … Maciej … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 10,00 1,03 10,0%
Gamdom 8,20 1,01 12,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,51 1,40 28,5%
Edge vs Mercado: David …: +19,2% Maciej …: -19,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
David Duong
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2526
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Maciej Rajski
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #797
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
David Duong
Record 2025 29W - 33L (47%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Maciej Rajski
Record 2025 81W - 17L (83%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Maciej Rajski ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -24,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 15,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0402
serve_consistency_p2 11,8653
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3300
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6271
utr_advantage -10,5014
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21480
API ID 15308772
Gamdom ID 569056
Torneo UTR Newport Beach M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21480,
    "api_id": 15308772,
    "gamdom_id": 569056,
    "player1": "David Duong",
    "player2": "Maciej Rajski",
    "tournament": "UTR Newport Beach M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T21:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 10.0,
      "p2": 1.0303030303030303
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.2,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 13.16,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2851,
    "prob_p2": 0.7149,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7149,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2526,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.774193548387096,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.77,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.53,
          "opponent_name": "Kyle Overmyer"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Raz Haviv"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Benjamin Berger"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Santiago Perez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.57,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Makk"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:58.547429+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.36,
      "utr_ranking": 797,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 81,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 82.6530612244898,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.19,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kosuke Nakanishi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matteo Huarte"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Carson Baker"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca Ostovany"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Iiro Vasa"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:29.466451+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2526,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.36,
      "ranking": 797,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6270588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -1.33,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -31.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -10.501381760757996,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0401620094645,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.865267835589957,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -24.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}