Tal Goodman vs William Zhang
UTR Newport Beach M01 | Hard |
06 Ene 2026, 02:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tal Goodman
Tal …: 50,8% William …: 49,2%
¿Por qué Tal Goodman?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,45 (-0,26) — Niveles similares
Tal …
W20-L27
43% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L3
William …
W53-L23
70% WR
vs UTR 11,1
W2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tal … William … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,97 2,03 50,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tal Goodman
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2316
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
William Zhang
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,45 Junior
UTR Ranking #99
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tal Goodman
Record 2025 20W - 27L (43%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
William Zhang
Record 2025 53W - 23L (70%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 11,1
Últimos 5:
W W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Tal Goodman ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,1).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 15,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,4909
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2600
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5012
utr_advantage -2,1434
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21504
API ID 15308774
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR Newport Beach M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21504,
    "api_id": 15308774,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tal Goodman",
    "player2": "William Zhang",
    "tournament": "UTR Newport Beach M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T22:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5083,
    "prob_p2": 0.4917,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5083,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2316,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 20,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.5531914893617,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.17,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Bernardo Munk Mesa"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Watanabe Eriksson"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Lasse Poertner"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Carson Lee"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matei Gavrea"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:43.667046+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.45,
      "utr_ranking": 99,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 53,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 69.73684210526315,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.13,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "George Hakopian"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Dylan Waldorf Martin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "George Hakopian"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Roman Venger"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.47,
          "opponent_name": "Maciej Rajski"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:01.503040+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2316,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.45,
      "ranking": 99,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5011764705882352,
    "utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.143446001648803,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.490895504667874,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}