Daiki Yoshimura vs Seiya Nakanishi
UTR Yokohama M01 | Hard |
08 Ene 2026, 08:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daiki Yoshimura
Daiki …: 52,7% Seiya …: 47,3%
¿Por qué Daiki Yoshimura?
UTR 12,39 vs 11,99 (+0,35) — Niveles similares
Daiki …
W36-L27
57% WR
vs UTR 11,9
W2
Seiya …
W24-L36
40% WR
vs UTR 11,8
W3
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daiki … Seiya … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,49 2,28 67,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,90 2,11 52,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Daiki …: -9,8% Seiya …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daiki Yoshimura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1647
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Seiya Nakanishi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #1926
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 25% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Daiki Yoshimura
Record 2025 36W - 27L (57%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
W W L W W
Seiya Nakanishi
Record 2025 24W - 36L (40%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Análisis Momentum
Seiya Nakanishi en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 44,7800
first_serve_won_diff 66,7000
second_serve_won_diff 38,1000
bp_saved_diff 42,9000
bp_converted_diff 20,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,5000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,2246
serve_consistency_p2 5,6929
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3500
utr_p1 0,5118
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 2,8747
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21526
API ID 15306261
Gamdom ID 567200
Torneo UTR Yokohama M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21526,
    "api_id": 15306261,
    "gamdom_id": 567200,
    "player1": "Daiki Yoshimura",
    "player2": "Seiya Nakanishi",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-08T04:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.28
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.527,
    "prob_p2": 0.473,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.527,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1647,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.09,
          "opponent_name": "Kamonpanyakorn Thadpong"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.42,
          "opponent_name": "Fanming Meng"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.1,
          "opponent_name": "Markus Malaszszak"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mao Takada"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zachary Adam-Gedge"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:52.641135+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 1926,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 36,
      "utr_v4_wr": 40.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chen-Yang Hsu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Taki Adachi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.95,
          "opponent_name": "Hong-Lin Fu"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Yuta Kawahashi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Seito Kurotsu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:32.857162+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.39,
      "ranking": 1647,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 1926,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 42.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.8747433264887032,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 20.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 44.78,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 66.7,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.224571198353885,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.692857513411047,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 38.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}