Seiya Nakanishi vs Yuga Tashiro
UTR Yokohama M01 | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 08:00
05 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuga Tashiro
Seiya …: 49,6%
Yuga …: 50,4%
¿Por qué Yuga Tashiro?
UTR 11,99 vs 12,00
— Niveles similares
Seiya …
W24-L36
40% WR
vs UTR 11,8
W3
Yuga …
W37-L16
70% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Seiya … | Yuga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,17 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 3,70 | 1,19 | 27,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,02 | 1,98 | 49,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Seiya …: +29,0%
Yuga …: -29,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Seiya Nakanishi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1926
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Yuga Tashiro
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2355
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Seiya Nakanishi
Record 2025
24W - 36L (40%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
11,8
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
L
Yuga Tashiro
Record 2025
37W - 16L (70%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Seiya Nakanishi en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 15,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6929 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1388 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21530
API ID
15306241
Gamdom ID
567175
Torneo
UTR Yokohama M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21530,
"api_id": 15306241,
"gamdom_id": 567175,
"player1": "Seiya Nakanishi",
"player2": "Yuga Tashiro",
"tournament": "UTR Yokohama M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.1666666666666667
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.7,
"p2": 1.19
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.2,
"p2": 1.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4959,
"prob_p2": 0.5041,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5041,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 1926,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 24,
"utr_v4_losses": 36,
"utr_v4_wr": 40.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.79,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Chen-Yang Hsu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Taki Adachi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.95,
"opponent_name": "Hong-Lin Fu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.2,
"opponent_name": "Yuta Kawahashi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Seito Kurotsu"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:32.857162+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2355,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 37,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 69.81132075471697,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.82,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.4,
"opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Rin Kojima"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Christopher Kosei Ono"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ryuto Kizaki"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:06.171218+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.99,
"ranking": 1926,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2355,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.692857513411047,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.138838725892204,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}