Kotaro Mochizuki vs Taketo Takamisawa
UTR Yokohama M01 | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taketo Takamisawa
Kotaro …: 37,9% Taketo …: 62,1%
¿Por qué Taketo Takamisawa?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,93 (-0,98) — Niveles similares
Kotaro …
W51-L29
64% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L1
Taketo …
W55-L25
69% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kotaro … Taketo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,85 1,31 35,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,64 1,61 37,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Kotaro …: +2,4% Taketo …: -2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kotaro Mochizuki
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #1867
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Taketo Takamisawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #1166
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kotaro Mochizuki
Record 2025 51W - 29L (64%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Taketo Takamisawa
Record 2025 55W - 25L (69%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Taketo Takamisawa ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,0 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -38,0900
first_serve_won_diff -56,2000
second_serve_won_diff -33,3000
bp_saved_diff -37,5000
bp_converted_diff -33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,5000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,1890
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9800
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5859
utr_advantage -7,8463
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21546
API ID 15306253
Gamdom ID 567214
Torneo UTR Yokohama M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21546,
    "api_id": 15306253,
    "gamdom_id": 567214,
    "player1": "Kotaro Mochizuki",
    "player2": "Taketo Takamisawa",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T05:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.85,
      "p2": 1.31
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3786,
    "prob_p2": 0.6214,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6214,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1867,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 51,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.74999999999999,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.69,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Taiyo Hirano"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yamato Nishiyama"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shotaro Kashiwagi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Taki Adachi"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.399437+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.93,
      "utr_ranking": 1166,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 55,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.75,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.59,
          "opponent_name": "Arthur Weber"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.04,
          "opponent_name": "Max Basing"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yan Cheng CHEN"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.53,
          "opponent_name": "Moerani Bouzige"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:43.336693+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1867,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.93,
      "ranking": 1166,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5858823529411765,
    "utr_diff": -0.9800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -37.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -7.846277021617297,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -38.09,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -56.2,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.189000576454513,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -33.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}