Kate Sharabura vs Deniz Dilek
UTR PTT Athens Women 01 | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 21:50
05 Ene 2026, 21:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Deniz Dilek
Kate …: 25,0%
Deniz …: 75,0%
¿Por qué Deniz Dilek?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,00
(-1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Kate …
W17-L23
42% WR
vs UTR 9,5
L6
Deniz …
W29-L18
62% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kate … | Deniz … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 8,50 | 1,05 | 11,8% |
| Gamdom | 7,00 | 1,04 | 14,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,00 | 1,33 | 25,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kate …: +14,0%
Deniz …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kate Sharabura
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1354
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Deniz Dilek
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#854
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kate Sharabura
Record 2025
17W - 23L (43%)
Racha
6L
UTR Oponentes
9,5
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Deniz Dilek
Record 2025
29W - 18L (62%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
10,3
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Deniz Dilek ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,3 vs 9,5).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 293,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_advantage | -10,5263 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21572
API ID
15307655
Gamdom ID
568604
Torneo
UTR PTT Athens Women 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21572,
"api_id": 15307655,
"gamdom_id": 568604,
"player1": "Kate Sharabura",
"player2": "Deniz Dilek",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Athens Women 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-05T17:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 8.5,
"p2": 1.05
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 9.6,
"p2": 1.04
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2497,
"prob_p2": 0.7503,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7503,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 1354,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 17,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.5,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.47,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.16,
"opponent_name": "Laia Petretic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Lily Revak"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Jade Psonka"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Calla Mcgill"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Neda Rahimkhani"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:07.567169+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 854,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.702127659574465,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.31,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Serafima Elizarova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Amelie Smejkalova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.09,
"opponent_name": "Amelia Bissett"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.34,
"opponent_name": "Scarlett Nicholson"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Julia Zhu"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:00.813878+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 1354,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 854,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": -1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -10.526315789473683,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 293,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}