Hanna Chang vs Ryan Kershner
UTR Newport Beach W01 | Hard |
07 Ene 2026, 22:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hanna Chang
Hanna …: 72,0% Ryan …: 28,0%
¿Por qué Hanna Chang?
UTR 11,30 vs 8,00 — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hanna … Ryan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,00 26,00 99,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,39 3,57 72,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Hanna …: -24,3% Ryan …: +24,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanna Chang
Ranking #324
UTR Rating 11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #356
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/7 = 14,3%
Ryan Kershner
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 General
UTR Ranking #6052
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 182,0000
rank_ratio 1,5723
log_rank_ratio 0,4526
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 199,0000
best_rank_diff 331,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,2857
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,3152
surface_matches_ratio 7,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 14,2857
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 26,0140
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,7143
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 43,9714
first_serve_won_diff 57,3000
second_serve_won_diff 42,5000
bp_saved_diff 46,8000
bp_converted_diff 22,2000
aces_per_match_diff 1,2857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 48,5000
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,9647
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,4651
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5391
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3180
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3835
utr_p2 0,3835
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21591
API ID 15307963
Gamdom ID 568826
Torneo UTR Newport Beach W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21591,
    "api_id": 15307963,
    "gamdom_id": 568826,
    "player1": "Hanna Chang",
    "player2": "Ryan Kershner",
    "tournament": "UTR Newport Beach W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-07T18:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.001,
      "p2": 26.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": 8.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7198,
    "prob_p2": 0.2802,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7198,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 324,
      "utr_singles": 11.3,
      "utr_ranking": 356,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6052,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.3,
      "ranking": 356,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 6052,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.38352941176470584,
    "utr_p2": 0.38352941176470584,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5723270440251573,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 199,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 46.8,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 47.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 14.285714285714285,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 331,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.452556715642015,
    "rank_advantage": 182,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 14.285714285714285,
    "bp_converted_diff": 22.2,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 43.97142857142857,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2857142857142858,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 57.3,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.7142857142857143,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.964655888144183,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.465095937743071,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 26.01398601398601,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 42.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 48.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5391428571428571,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.31800000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.315151515151516,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}