Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima
Acapulco | Hard | Round of 16
27 Feb 2025, 05:55
27 Feb 2025, 05:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Holger … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Holger Rune
Ranking
#16
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Hard
23/35 = 65,7%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
44% (9p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6286 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1045,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,2394 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,2864 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8526 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,9780 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,5960 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 81,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 95,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,0623 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,9896 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6287 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,8778 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,1042 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,3281 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,0400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1432 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9785 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5588 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4902 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,5171 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2008 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,8079 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1482 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0838 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 9,2394 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2161
API ID
13498969
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Acapulco
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2161,
"api_id": 13498969,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Holger Rune",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Acapulco",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-27T01:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.71428571428571,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.875,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6286086594223741,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1045,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.239369326325829,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.286393345216872,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8526315789473684,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.21739130434781,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.978021978021985,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.88235294117646,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.59595959595959,
"p1_surface_matches": 81,
"p2_surface_matches": 95,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.062318283166107,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.9895723841376025,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.6287099856665037,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.87778069756331,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.104171046344959,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.32807254339863,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.040000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.143236074270557,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9785407725321889,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.49019607843137253,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.517096847803474,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.200819355579494,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.807947566129883,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14817391304347816,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08378021978021988,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 9.239369326325829,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.871764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.871764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}