Mua Shigeta vs Nana Kawagishi
UTR Yokohama W01 | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nana Kawagishi
Mua …: 24,8% Nana …: 75,2%
¿Por qué Nana Kawagishi?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,03 (-1,03) — Ligera ventaja
Mua …
W42-L40
51% WR
vs UTR 9,1
W1
Nana …
W24-L30
44% WR
vs UTR 9,9
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mua … Nana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,22 25,0%
Gamdom 3,00 1,29 33,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,04 1,33 24,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Mua …: +1,4% Nana …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mua Shigeta
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2949
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Nana Kawagishi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #1029
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mua Shigeta
Record 2025 42W - 40L (51%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,1
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Nana Kawagishi
Record 2025 24W - 30L (44%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,9
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 15,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,7681
serve_consistency_p2 9,7084
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0300
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,2388
utr_advantage -10,8250
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21626
API ID 15306025
Gamdom ID 567172
Torneo UTR Yokohama W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21626,
    "api_id": 15306025,
    "gamdom_id": 567172,
    "player1": "Mua Shigeta",
    "player2": "Nana Kawagishi",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.2222222222222223
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.63,
      "p2": 1.26
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2478,
    "prob_p2": 0.7522,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7522,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2949,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 40,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.08,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Elizaveta Gurianova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.48,
          "opponent_name": "Yuzuha Negishi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.75,
          "opponent_name": "Minami Suzuki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nagisa Suzuki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.1,
          "opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.956589+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.03,
      "utr_ranking": 1029,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.85,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.77,
          "opponent_name": "Yuhan Wang"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.97,
          "opponent_name": "Lunda Kumhom"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.37,
          "opponent_name": "Ulyana Hrabavets"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.31,
          "opponent_name": "Merel Hoedt"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.37,
          "opponent_name": "Ulyana Hrabavets"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.255921+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2949,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.03,
      "ranking": 1029,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.23882352941176463,
    "utr_diff": -1.0299999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -10.825013137151858,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.768103412570838,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.708359839735513,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}