Natsuho Arakawa vs Kurumi Tamura
UTR Yokohama W01 | Hard |
05 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Natsuho Arakawa
Natsuho …: 58,6% Kurumi …: 41,4%
¿Por qué Natsuho Arakawa?
UTR 9,63 vs 10,00 — Niveles similares
Natsuho …
Sin datos
Kurumi …
W33-L12
73% WR
vs UTR 9,1
W7
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Natsuho … Kurumi … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,60 1,38 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,71 2,42 58,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Natsuho …: +24,9% Kurumi …: -24,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Natsuho Arakawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #1221
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Kurumi Tamura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1663
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Natsuho Arakawa
Sin datos UTR v4
Kurumi Tamura
Record 2025 33W - 12L (73%)
Racha 7W
UTR Oponentes 9,1
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 17,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 14,3687
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,2353
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21630
API ID 15306029
Gamdom ID 567159
Torneo UTR Yokohama W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21630,
    "api_id": 15306029,
    "gamdom_id": 567159,
    "player1": "Natsuho Arakawa",
    "player2": "Kurumi Tamura",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-05T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.38
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.68,
      "p2": 1.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5864,
    "prob_p2": 0.4136,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5864,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.63,
      "utr_ranking": 1221,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1663,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 33,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 73.33333333333333,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 7,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.07,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Azusa Ishii"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kokoro Ishikawa"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Miyu Kato"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Minori Natsuka"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Catholine Miyu Ono"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:13.496088+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.63,
      "ranking": 1221,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1663,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.368654273482429,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}