Kaitlin Quevedo vs Peyton Stearns
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Peyton Stearns
Kaitlin …: 38,3% Peyton …: 61,7%
¿Por qué Peyton Stearns?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kaitlin … Peyton … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,33 1,22 23,1%
Gamdom 2,90 1,42 34,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,61 1,62 38,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Kaitlin …: +16,3% Peyton …: -16,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kaitlin Quevedo
Ranking #129
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Peyton Stearns
Ranking #68
UTR Rating 12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 10/25 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -82,0000
rank_ratio 0,4345
log_rank_ratio -0,8336
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -504,0000
best_rank_diff -115,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -40,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,7369
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 41,3793
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,5667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -53,3044
first_serve_won_diff -63,2160
second_serve_won_diff -50,1880
bp_saved_diff -57,2720
bp_converted_diff -50,5360
aces_per_match_diff -3,3200
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 44,1850
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 102,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8148
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 9,5838
serve_consistency_p2 12,5775
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 33,3440
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4180
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1820
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4882
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21640
API ID 15313331
Gamdom ID 571488
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21640,
    "api_id": 15313331,
    "gamdom_id": 571488,
    "player1": "Kaitlin Quevedo",
    "player2": "Peyton Stearns",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T03:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.22
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.42
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3826,
    "prob_p2": 0.6174,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6174,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 129,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": 12.07,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.07,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.43448275862068964,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -504,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -57.272,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 60.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -115,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8335990160290417,
    "rank_advantage": -82,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.536,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -53.3044,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8148148148148148,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.32,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -63.216,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.583763523345423,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.577462014659703,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 33.34396064116167,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.37931034482759,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -50.187999999999995,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 44.18500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 102,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41800000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18199999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7369093231162183,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}