Kaitlin Quevedo vs Peyton Stearns
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 07:10
05 Ene 2026, 07:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Peyton Stearns
Kaitlin …: 38,3%
Peyton …: 61,7%
¿Por qué Peyton Stearns?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kaitlin … | Peyton … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,33 | 1,22 | 23,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,90 | 1,42 | 34,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,61 | 1,62 | 38,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kaitlin …: +16,3%
Peyton …: -16,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kaitlin Quevedo
Ranking
#129
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
10/25 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -82,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4345 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8336 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -504,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -115,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,7369 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 41,3793 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -53,3044 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -63,2160 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -50,1880 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -57,2720 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -50,5360 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3200 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 44,1850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 102,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8148 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5838 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,5775 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 33,3440 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4180 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1820 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21640
API ID
15313331
Gamdom ID
571488
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21640,
"api_id": 15313331,
"gamdom_id": 571488,
"player1": "Kaitlin Quevedo",
"player2": "Peyton Stearns",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T03:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.333333333333334,
"p2": 1.22
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.42
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3826,
"prob_p2": 0.6174,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6174,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 129,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.07,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.43448275862068964,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -504,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -57.272,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -115,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8335990160290417,
"rank_advantage": -82,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -50.536,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": -53.3044,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8148148148148148,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.32,
"combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -63.216,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.583763523345423,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.577462014659703,
"surface_rank_synergy": 33.34396064116167,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.37931034482759,
"second_serve_won_diff": -50.187999999999995,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 44.18500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 102,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41800000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18199999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7369093231162183,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}