Sinja Kraus vs Julia Grabher
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 08:55
05 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 63,3%
Julia …: 36,7%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,89
(-0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sinja … | Julia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,41 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,58 | 2,73 | 63,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sinja …: +13,3%
Julia …: -13,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#154
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Julia Grabher
Ranking
#95
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#133
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
2/10 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1466 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -99,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -51,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,5600 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 28,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,5768 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,3350 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,3025 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,5650 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,6250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,1724 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6465 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0678 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,3981 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0150 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3150 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2600 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21641
API ID
15313333
Gamdom ID
571487
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21641,
"api_id": 15313333,
"gamdom_id": 571487,
"player1": "Sinja Kraus",
"player2": "Julia Grabher",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-05T04:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.41
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6333,
"prob_p2": 0.3667,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6333,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 11.81,
"utr_ranking": 154,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 95,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 133,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.81,
"ranking": 154,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 133,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.8636363636363636,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -99,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5649999999999977,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.2599748005039928,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -51,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1466034741918754,
"rank_advantage": -15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.625,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.576750000000004,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.1724137931034483,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.335000000000008,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.646465985303868,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.06784736363688,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.398104225756262,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.3024999999999949,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.015000000000000013,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.315,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.56,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}