Sinja Kraus vs Julia Grabher
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 63,3% Julia …: 36,7%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,89 (-0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sinja … Julia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,57 2,41 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,58 2,73 63,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Sinja …: +13,3% Julia …: -13,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #154
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 4/8 = 50,0%
Julia Grabher
Ranking #95
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #133
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 2/10 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -15,0000
rank_ratio 0,8636
log_rank_ratio -0,1466
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -99,0000
best_rank_diff -51,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 30,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,5600
surface_matches_ratio 0,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 20,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 28,5714
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,4200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,5768
first_serve_won_diff 1,3350
second_serve_won_diff -0,3025
bp_saved_diff -0,5650
bp_converted_diff 10,6250
aces_per_match_diff 1,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,1724
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6465
serve_consistency_p2 10,0678
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,3981
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0150
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3150
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1500
utr_p1 0,4506
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage -1,2600
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21641
API ID 15313333
Gamdom ID 571487
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21641,
    "api_id": 15313333,
    "gamdom_id": 571487,
    "player1": "Sinja Kraus",
    "player2": "Julia Grabher",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T04:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6333,
    "prob_p2": 0.3667,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6333,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 11.81,
      "utr_ranking": 154,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 95,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 133,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 20.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 11.81,
      "ranking": 154,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 133,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8636363636363636,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -99,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.5649999999999977,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.2599748005039928,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -51,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1466034741918754,
    "rank_advantage": -15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 30.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.625,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.576750000000004,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.1724137931034483,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.335000000000008,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.646465985303868,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.06784736363688,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.398104225756262,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3024999999999949,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.015000000000000013,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.315,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.56,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}