Sofia Costoulas vs Whitney Osuigwe
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 04:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sofia Costoulas
Sofia …: 53,3% Whitney …: 46,7%
¿Por qué Sofia Costoulas?
UTR 11,72 vs 11,51 (+0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sofia … Whitney … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,48 2,65 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,14 53,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Sofia …: +3,3% Whitney …: -3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Whitney Osuigwe
Ranking #152
UTR Rating 11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #268
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -5,0000
rank_ratio 0,9693
log_rank_ratio -0,0312
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -15,0000
best_rank_diff -44,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,7202
surface_matches_ratio 0,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 32,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,3283
first_serve_won_diff 5,0500
second_serve_won_diff -10,1000
bp_saved_diff 2,8000
bp_converted_diff -7,7750
aces_per_match_diff 3,9167
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 15,5564
serve_consistency_p2 7,0759
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,5193
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2450
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0883
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,4282
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage 1,5584
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21642
API ID 15313332
Gamdom ID 571484
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21642,
    "api_id": 15313332,
    "gamdom_id": 571484,
    "player1": "Sofia Costoulas",
    "player2": "Whitney Osuigwe",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-05T00:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5334,
    "prob_p2": 0.4666,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5334,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 11.72,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 152,
      "utr_singles": 11.51,
      "utr_ranking": 268,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.72,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.51,
      "ranking": 268,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9693251533742331,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -15,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5584415584415559,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -44,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.031155167779795576,
    "rank_advantage": -5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.774999999999984,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.328333333333333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.916666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.049999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.556362528780173,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.075886530320103,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.5192527963299264,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.100000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.245,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08833333333333326,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.720238095238097,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}