Iva Jovic vs Gabriela Knutson
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 77,4% Gabriela …: 22,6%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 11,68 (+0,67) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Gabriela … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,18 4,90 84,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,43 77,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: +1,2% Gabriela …: -1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking #176
UTR Rating 11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #193
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 150,0000
rank_ratio 5,2857
log_rank_ratio 1,6650
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1037,0000
best_rank_diff 122,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 23,1579
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,9487
surface_matches_ratio 3,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,9722
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,5000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,7862
first_serve_won_diff -6,4400
second_serve_won_diff 11,0600
bp_saved_diff -5,0000
bp_converted_diff 23,0600
aces_per_match_diff -0,4421
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18,8390
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 57,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,4810
serve_consistency_p2 4,2009
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 38,5581
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0184
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0500
elite_surface_amplifier 46,3158
UTR
utr_diff 0,6700
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4306
utr_advantage 5,5857
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21643
API ID 15313330
Gamdom ID 571490
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21643,
    "api_id": 15313330,
    "gamdom_id": 571490,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Gabriela Knutson",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-04T22:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7743,
    "prob_p2": 0.2257,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7743,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 176,
      "utr_singles": 11.68,
      "utr_ranking": 193,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.68,
      "ranking": 193,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.43058823529411766,
    "utr_diff": 0.6699999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 5.285714285714286,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1037,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.999999999999993,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.58566069195498,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 122,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.6650077635889111,
    "rank_advantage": 150,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 23.157894736842103,
    "bp_converted_diff": 23.060000000000002,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.7862105263157915,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.4421052631578948,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.439999999999998,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.480985530481114,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.200854827937398,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 38.55807452521689,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.97222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 11.059999999999995,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.839,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 46.315789473684205,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.018421052631579005,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.050000000000000044,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.948671497584545,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}