Iva Jovic vs Gabriela Knutson
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
05 Ene 2026, 02:30
05 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 77,4%
Gabriela …: 22,6%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 11,68
(+0,67)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Gabriela … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,18 | 4,90 | 84,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,29 | 4,43 | 77,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: +1,2%
Gabriela …: -1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking
#176
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#193
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 150,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,2857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,6650 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1037,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 122,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,1579 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,9487 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9722 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,7862 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,4400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 11,0600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 23,0600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4421 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,8390 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 57,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4810 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2009 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 38,5581 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0184 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0500 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 46,3158 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4306 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,5857 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21643
API ID
15313330
Gamdom ID
571490
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21643,
"api_id": 15313330,
"gamdom_id": 571490,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Gabriela Knutson",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-04T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7743,
"prob_p2": 0.2257,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7743,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 176,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 193,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 193,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.43058823529411766,
"utr_diff": 0.6699999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 5.285714285714286,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1037,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.999999999999993,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.58566069195498,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 122,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.6650077635889111,
"rank_advantage": 150,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.157894736842103,
"bp_converted_diff": 23.060000000000002,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.7862105263157915,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4421052631578948,
"combined_confidence": 0.5,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.439999999999998,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.480985530481114,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.200854827937398,
"surface_rank_synergy": 38.55807452521689,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.97222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 11.059999999999995,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.839,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 46.315789473684205,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.018421052631579005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.050000000000000044,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.948671497584545,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}